|August 2000||VOL. 13, NO. 8|
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Like most horseplayers I try and take the lessons I have learned at the track and apply them when I am handicapping. Predictably, the results are uneven. Some days I factor in everything I have learned and am successful. Other days I miss some key angles and pay the price at the mutuel windows. That is why I was so excited when we introduced Neurax PRO handicapping software last year. Neurax PRO added a new twist to handicapping software by introducing artificial intelligence to handicapping. Using neural network technology, Neurax PRO uses 84 handicapping factors to analyze each horse and simulates the predicted order of finish. Extensively tested on all North American tracks, Neurax PRO consistently picked winners and returned a positive ROI. Armed with Neurax PRO I no longer worry about missing crucial handicapping angles. Neurax PRO helps bridge the gaps in my handicapping with the precision of artificial intelligence.
The great news for you is during August you can download 5 Neurax PRO datafiles for FREE. Over the next month you'll be amazed how quickly Neurax PRO identifies overlays & underlays from the morning line, systematically analyzes 76 betting angles to determine the best wagering strategy, and forecasts your fortunes with the profit/analysis feature. If you are looking to personalize your handicapping reports Neurax PRO gives you the ability to train your neural networks for individual tracks, race classes, distances, track conditions and surfaces. The Scratch Utility allows you to make necessary program changes. With its unique ability to be trained for all tracks and types of races, Neurax PRO offers users the ultimate in customization.
What comes as a surprise to most handicappers is how easy Neurax PRO is to use. Download the datafile for your desired track and the program will automatically make the necessary translations complete with program numbers and morning line odds! Easy to use with other software programs, data set and profit/loss information can be generated into comma delimited formats for spreadsheets and word processing programs. Another popular feature is Neurax PRO's ability to integrate with our FREE PP Generator software to print and view Ultimate PP's at no extra cost!.
Never tried our FREE handicapping software? Try the 5 FREE Neurax PRO datafiles in August and never miss another handicapping angle again. Valued at over $70 it doesn't take artificial intelligence to figure out this is great deal. Don't blow this rare opportunity to test out this sophisticated software risk-free in August.
To download your FREE copy of Neurax PRO visit our website at www.brisnet.com and click on "Free Handicapping Software" on the toolbar.
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Having handicapped now for almost 20 years, I know a good tool when I see one. Like many of you, I remember when the traditional Past Performances didn't even have the conditions of the races (e.g. ALL 1x) in the PP lines of the runners. Speed figures in the PP's? Pars? Pace Ratings? Forget about it! None of that stuff was available, and still isn't in some products on the market.
Well, I love the new Quick Play PP's! This new Brisnet.com product is a revolutionary tool for handicappers, mainly because, like the Ultimate PP's, it actually lives up to its name. The first day I used it, I could see how much time it saved me in the often tedious handicapping process. At a glance, you can scan the Positive and Negative Summary Boxes for each runner, and see who is a contender and who is a pretender.
You can also consult the four Rankings at the top of the race header: Speed Last Race, Prime Power, Class Rating, and Best Speed At Distance. Here, you can easily see if one runner alone stands out based on value-added BRIS Ratings. A runner ranked first on three or more categories is often a difficult horse to defeat. Of course, any runner with a significant advantage on Prime Power (3 or more points) is always a major threat and probably a "key" horse to wager on.
To illustrate the advantages of the Positive Comments, check out the 5th race from River Downs on July 11. FORGIVEN leaped off the pages in this lackluster field of nine maiden claimers. As the Quick Play PP's point out, Forgiven had three strong factors in his favor this day. He was taking a major drop in class, from special weight company, to a bottom claiming price, and he was cutting back to a sprint. His best BRIS Speed Rating was faster than Par for this race.
These comments pointed out to me that his best career race (Feb. 17 at Turfway Park) was at today's distance of six furlongs. That effort earned him a 73 Speed Rating, faster than the Par of 71. Here was a 20-percent trainer spotting his horse in the right company and cutting him back to his preferred distance. Best of all, Forgiven didn't have much to beat as the favorite had already been defeated in a maiden $5,000 claimer and had never gone the distance. At morning line odds of 12-1, what else could you ask for?
Unfortunately Forgiven was bet down but still closed at healthy odds of 6.80-1. After making a big move on the turn for home under Collins, he drew off down the stretch for a decisive 3-length score. The maiden victor paid $15.60 and keyed a $157.60 exacta over the horse ranked second on Prime Power.
The opposite scenario can be just as useful. Sometimes you will see a favorite with several negative factors going against him. With the Quick Play PP's it would be hard to overlook this type of underlay because the facts will be right there in front of you in black and white.
Joe Pachecho, a customer of BRIS since 1997, recently took first place in the Lone Star Park contest at Grand Prairie. Using the new Quick Play PP's, Joe rallied from 16th place on day one to take down the grand prize of $1,000 and more importantly a qualifying berth in the 2nd DRF National Handicapping Championship in Las Vegas.
"I love the Quick Play PP's!" stated Joe." They help me because it makes handicapper easier with the positive and negative summary boxes. The positive summary box helped me select a 35-1 longshot at Churchill Downs. The comments told me that the dam had produced two winners from two starters, and that the rail (one hole) was winning at a high 18% clip. That was enough for me because I knew I needed a longshot winner."
Incredibly, Joe had to leave shortly before the end of the contest to drive a friend to the airport. He put in his last two plays and then found out much later that he had won the contest. His impressive $277.70 ending bankroll over the two days garnered him the title. Joe is one of four participants who will represent Lone Star next January as he competes for the NTRA Handicapper of the Year title and $200,000 in cash prizes. Congratulations Joe!
By Richard J. Nilsen
Saratoga racecourse, open from July 26 to September 4, is a picture-perfect vacation spot, especially if you have a fondness for playing the ponies. Today, we look at a few angles that tend to work well at this historic racetrack, which is nestled in the beautiful Adirondack Mountains.
Horses for Courses is a potent angle each year at the Spa. Some horses, like Fourstardave, just come alive when shipped to the Adirondack region. Here's a few to keep a close eye on for the 2000 meet:
Affirmed Success - he loves the one-turn sprints here, but he also took to the turf at Belmont like a duck to water, so beware on any surface.
Big City Dream - this Canadian runner is two for two here and a longshot threat if his trainer ships him "down south."
Delay of Game - is he the next Fourstardave? He's won 4 years in a row up here!
Double Screen - loves Saratoga sprints; very tough against state-bred company.
Emily's Dad - undefeated in three career starts at the Spa. Another NY-bred.
Gander - NY-bred needs a drop in class from recent starts. Has won from 6f to 9f here.
Gold Princess - only Spa loss came in the Honorable Miss (G3).
Jim's Mistake - erratic sort is always a threat at a price.
Lumberman - has won four of five starts, all in sprints.
Sejm's Madness - won twice at the Spa in '99 over the Inner Turf.
Tejano Couture - allowance runner owns 3 wins at 1 1/8-miles.
According to Track Stats 2000 favorites won 36 percent of the races in '99, including 40% in Maiden events. Make sure you employ BRIS Pace Ratings at Saratoga, especially at 6 furlongs, where 37 percent of the races were won wire-to-wire. At 1 1/8-miles exactly one-third of the winners won in front running style, which is a high success rate for a route distance.
The top four trainers were, in order: Mott, Lukas, Hough and Pletcher. The top jockeys consisted of Bailey, Prado, Chavez and Sellers. Prado produced a healthy +0.76 ROI from his 36 wins at the meet. However, the crowd is less likely to overlook Prado mounts so easily this time around.
Finally, credit should be given to the NYRA, which finally realized that Rolling Pick-3's and Trifectas in every race (with six or more entries) are a must-have at Saratoga. This will be the first meet here in which these opportunities are available.
Here, the public choice has fared even better, winning at a 37-percent clip in 1999, according to Track Stats. The favorites won 42 percent of the 3yo&up Allowance events last meet. Bob Baffert, the leading trainer, probably contributed to those numbers. He was followed by Mitchell, Hess, and Frankel in the standings. The jockeys were led by David Flores, then Solis, Nakatani, and Antley.
Horses for Courses is also a strong angle near the Surf, and we've got a few runners to watch at the upcoming meet:
Casey Griffin - won his first two starts here, one long, one short.
Cover Gal - Cal-bred loves the Del Mar dirt.
Émigré - never worse than second in four tries sprinting.
Joe Who - undefeated in three stakes attempts.
Lexicon - ran a 115 BRIS Speed in last Del Mar effort. Enough said.
National Saint - watch for the stretchout by Baffert here.
Stormy Jack - would appreciate a return to the dirt at Del Mar.
Sweet for a Moment - two for three in claiming company here.
Theresa's Tizzy - has won for four different trainers at DMR!
Your Halo - won three times sprinting for Mitchell.
Good luck, and enjoy the best racing in the country from Spa to Surf!
Beginning the week following the Breeders' Cup, handicappers across the country will compete for $25,000 in prizes on racing's #1 website, brisnet.com. The top two finishers in our online contest will each secure a spot to clash for the coveted title of Handicapper of the Year and the chance to win $100,000 in the DRF National Handicapping Championship in Las Vegas. You could join Gordon Anderson and Steve Davidowitz, our top two finishers in the Spring, and compete for $200,000 in total prize money in Vegas and the coveted title of NTRA Handicapper of the Year. BRISnet.com is picking up the tab for airfare and accommodations for our 2 lucky winners!
To punch your FREE ticket to Las Vegas, simply sign up for the Challenge at www.brisnet.com/challenge before 3:00 p.m. EDT on Friday, November 10. NO purchases are required. The contest will kick off Saturday, November 11 and will run every Saturday until December 2. A weekly $2,500 cash prize will be awarded to the contestant with the most number of winning horses each Saturday, for a total of $10,000 in weekly cash prizes. The cumulative numbers of winners you select each Saturday will determine if you win the Grand Prize of $10,000 and the trip to Vegas.
So, are you ready mix it up with the nation's best handicappers? BRISnet.com members swept the top 3 spots in the first National Handicapping Championship in January! Now it's your turn to join racing's elite handicappers in Las Vegas in 2001. Visit www.brisnet.com/challenge for all the details on the BRISnet.com Online Handicapping Challenge II.
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