November 18, 2017

How To Bet the Mahoning Valley Pick 4 November 13

If you’re looking for a challenging Pick 4 sequence to get the brain working on a Monday, then look no more than Mahoning Valley where the 8-race card concludes with a Pick 4 featuring fields of 11, 11, 12, and 12 for 17,424 possible combinations.

For Brisnet.com handicapping products for Mahoning Valley Race Course, CLICK HERE!

It looks like a challenging sequence on paper, with several double-digit morning line odds horses in the “A” column of my grid, but we’ll proceed with caution considering what a formful meeting it’s been to date with 49% favorites winning, an overall average win mutuel of only $10.12, and 82% of favorites hitting the board.

The horse we’re most willing to lean on is #10 Skylar’s a Jiggen in race 7 (leg 3). The 5-to-2 morning line favorite in the field of 12 is the lone “E” type while sporting 8 Quirin Speed Points. “E” types have won 49% of races going 6 furlongs with a same percentage of winners going gate to wire. She should have a tremendous advantage over her elder rivals.

The race we’re least confident about is the opening leg (race 5) where I’ll want them “ALL” on at least one ticket. My grid is above. Brisnet.com’s At A Glance for the current meeting is below that.

MAHONING VALLEY RACE COURSE AT A GLANCE
Avg. Winning Odds: 4.06 – 1
Favorite Win%: 49%, Favorite Itm%: 82%
EXOTICS PAYOFF
Exacta 78.35
Daily Double 32.00
Trifecta 654.45
Pick 3 405.63
Superfecta 4,482.89
Pick 4 3,489.11
Pick 6 Jackpot 8,321.11
Super High Five 3,170.20
TRACK BIAS MEET(10/28 – 11/11)
Distance #
Race
%
Wire
Best
Style
Best
Posts
5.5fDirt 15 33% E Mid/Out
6.0fDirt 35 49% E Rail/Ins
1 MileDirt 17 12% E/P Rail/Ins
1m 70yDirt 6 17% E/P Rail/Ins
Who’s HOT, Who’s NOT
HOT TRAINERS Starts Wins Place Show Avg.
Odds
Winning
Favorites
’16-‘ 17
Win%
Radosevich Jeffrey A. 26 9 6 1 6.25 6 21%
Rone Mike L. 6 4 0 1 5.68 1 15%
Buttigieg Kevin 6 3 1 1 5.25 1 18%
Crumley Jevon D. 5 2 0 1 11.02 2 13%
COLD TRAINERS Starts Wins Place Show Avg.
Odds
Beaten
Favorites
’16-‘ 17
Win%
Moyers Rodney D. 18 0 0 1 38.54 0 4%
COLD JOCKEYS Starts Wins Place Show Avg.
Odds
Beaten
Favorites
’16-‘ 17
Win%
Ortiz Alexis 11 0 0 0 32.32 0 7%

 

 

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