December 8, 2024

Handicapper’s Library: BRISnet Pedigree Ratings FAQ

Lecomte Pedigree
Lecomte Pedigree

WHAT DO THE BRISNET PEDIGREE RATINGS MEASURE?

The Fast (Dirt) Pedigree rating measures the quality and suitability of the horse’s breeding for races run on the dirt.

The Off Pedigree rating measures the quality and suitability of the horse’s breeding for races run over a wet dirt surface.

The Distance Pedigree rating measures the overall quality and suitability of the horse’s breeding for races run at today’s distance.

The Turf Pedigree rating measures the quality and suitability of the horse’s breeding for races run on the turf.

HOW SHOULD I INTERPRET THE BRISNET PEDIGREE RATINGS?

While the higher Pedigree Ratings are generally preferred, the key is to not simply look for the highest rated horse. Instead, value oriented handicappers are encouraged to compare the rating of a horse at today’s distance (or surface) to his/her other pedigree ratings. Ask yourself if the relationship between the pedigree ratings of a horse suggest they will improve or decline at today’s distance/surface.

In turf races, look for those horses whose Turf Pedigree Rating is higher than their Fast (Dirt) Pedigree Rating. These horses, based on the performances of other horses with similar breeding, are well suited to the grass and often improve considerably when trying the grass.

In dirt races, look for those horses whose Distance Pedigree Rating is higher than their overall Fast (Dirt) Pedigree Rating. These horses, based on the performances of other horses with similar breeding, are well suited to today’s distance and often show substantial improvement when today’s distance is considerably shorter or longer than their other races.

In races run on a wet track, look for horses whose Off Pedigree Rating is higher than their Fast (Dirt) Pedigree Rating. These horses, based on the performances of other horses with similar breeding, are well suited to a wet track and often improve dramatically when running on a wet track.

HOW ARE THE BRISNET PEDIGREE RATINGS CALCULATED?

Based on an analysis of hundreds of thousands of starts in North America, each start of all offspring from the sire, dam, and damsire are evaluated and measured for their individual racing aptitudes and preferences. Unlike other pedigree ratings, which merely reflect win percentages or earnings, the BRIS Pedigree Ratings utilize a vast array of performance rating tools (Speed Ratings, Class Ratings, Power Ratings, etc.) to accurately measure the actual improvement or decline each offspring displayed at different distances and surfaces. The net result of this exhaustive compilation is the most accurate, comprehensive, and predictive pedigree ratings available to handicappers.

WHAT DO THE ‘?’ AND ‘*’ SYMBOLS MEAN?

When the Brisnet Pedigree Ratings are largely based on small sample sizes, a ‘?’ or ‘*’ symbol is given. Those rated with an ‘*’ have the smallest sample size.

WHEN SHOULD I USE THE BRISNET PEDIGREE RATINGS?

The Brisnet Pedigree Ratings are most valuable when horses are being asked to attempt something they have never done before (e.g. making their first career start, trying a new distance, switching to turf, running on an off track for the first time, etc.).

WHERE CAN I FIND THE BRISNET PEDIGREE RATINGS?

Exclusively in Brisnet PDF Past Performances (Premium Plus PPs, Ultimate PPs, and Quick Play PPs), the ratings can be found next to the horse’s career record for Fast, Off, Distance, and Turf.