July 21, 2024

Forte furthers grip on Kentucky Derby favoritism, closes at 5-2 in Pool 6

Forte shown winning the Fountain of Youth Stakes (Photo by Coglianese Photos)

Before Forte shrugged off a problematic trip to prevail in the Florida Derby (G1), bettors had already declared their faith in the champion by backing him into 5-2 favoritism in Pool 6 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager (KDFW). The final pool ahead of the May 6 Run for the Roses was conducted from Thursday through Saturday at 6 p.m. (ET), closing prior to the major domestic preps.

If Forte was a case of job done, albeit with greater suspense, in the Florida Derby, Angel of Empire’s conquest of the Arkansas Derby (G1) made his 29-1 price in Pool 6 look generous. Yet the Brad Cox pupil had traded a lot higher in past KDFW offerings – 125-1 in Pool 3, 112-1 in Pool 4, and following his breakout win in the Risen Star (G2), 38-1 in Pool 5. He opened Pool 6 at odds of 30-1.

Forte, the only Pool 6 interest under double-digits, adhered to his 5-2 morning line. The Todd Pletcher pupil, who has ranked as the favored individual from Pool 2 on, took on overall favoritism as a 3-1 chance in Pool 5.

Stablemates Kingsbarns and Tapit Trice came next in Pool 6 popularity, each at 11-1, but with different trajectories.

Kingsbarns was a market mover in the wake of his Louisiana Derby (G2) romp on March 25. First offered in Pool 3 when 32-1, a 35-1 shot in Pool 4 and 43-1 in Pool 5, he was listed at 20-1 on the morning line in this final pool, and shortened further.

Tapit Trice, 45-1 in Pool 3, tumbled to 15-1 in Pool 4 after a sensational Gulfstream allowance. During Pool 5 held over the weekend of his Tampa Bay Derby (G2) victory, Tapit Trice was bet down to 8-1. That was his starting price here, and he inched up ahead of his final prep in this Saturday’s Blue Grass (G1).

Japanese-based UAE Derby (G2) winner Derma Sotogake, pegged at 40-1 on the morning line, steamed into 13-1. San Felipe (G2) hero Practical Move, who drifted from 8-1 to 14-1 by the close of trade, will make this Saturday’s Santa Anita Derby (G1) his stepping stone to Churchill Downs. The mutuel field of “All other three-year-olds,” a 15-1 chance on the Pool 6 morning line, closed at 17-1.

Most notably among other efforts after closure on Saturday evening, Mage (46-1) and Cyclone Mischief (88-1) were respectively second and third to Forte in the Florida Derby, and Reincarnate (24-1) was third behind Angel of Empire at Oaklawn Park.

Churchill reported that Pool 6 handled a total of $369,443 ($271,230 in the Win pool and $98,213 in Exactas). For further details, including will-pays and exacta probables for all pools, see the KDFW page on kentuckyderby.com.

NAMEFINAL ODDSML ODDS
1. Angel of Empire29-130-1
2. Arctic Arrogance165-180-1
3. Blazing Sevens46-150-1
4. Bourbon Bash100-199-1
5. Classic Car Wash169-180-1
6. Confidence Game29-125-1
7. Continuar54-199-1
8. Cyclone Mischief88-180-1
9. Derma Sotogake13-140-1
10. Disarm33-140-1
11. Dreamlike143-180-1
12. Dubyuhnell111-180-1
13. Fort Bragg58-180-1
14. Forte5-25-2
15. Geaux Rocket Ride33-120-1
16. Hayes Strike404-180-1
17. Hit Show30-120-1
18. I Don’t Get It238-199-1
19. Instant Coffee49-120-1
20. Jace’s Road118-180-1
21. Kingsbarns11-120-1
22. Mage46-180-1
23. Mandarin Hero99-180-1
24. Mendelssohns March212-199-1
25. National Treasure44-150-1
26. Practical Move14-18-1
27. Raise Cain81-140-1
28. Red Route One24-125-1
29. Reincarnate24-120-1
30. Rocket Can32-130-1
31. Shadow Dragon299-199-1
32. Skinner49-130-1
33. Slip Mahoney130-180-1
34. Sun Thunder113-180-1
35. Tapit Trice11-18-1
36. Two Eagles River38-199-1
37. Two Phil’s21-140-1
38. Verifying50-130-1
39. Wild On Ice190-180-1
40. All Other 3-Year-Olds17-115-1