Kentucky notebook 10-15

KENTUCKY

NOTEBOOK

OCTOBER 15

by Steve Moody

Keeneland bettors get "free" money in

guaranteed Pick 4

Keeneland made its first venture into guaranteed betting pools

with mixed results Sunday. The Pick 4 was offered with a $300,000

guaranteed purse and a lowered 17 percent takeout, but despite

the attractiveness of the bet and all the promotion, the actual

pool came up a bit short at $244,896. That meant Keeneland had to

ante up just over $55,000 to bring the pool up to the guarantee.

The winners in the whole deal were the bettors who saw their

winning tickets balloon to $418.80 even though three of four

races were won by favorites and the other was listed at 4-1 in

the morning line. One of the favorites was the champion mare

Azeri (Jade Hunter), who eased away from rivals late to win the

Spinster at 2-5 odds. Even though her presence essentially made

the bet a Pick 3, the payoffs were still very robust.

There were $1,189 worth of winning tickets purchased and if

the payoff had been figured on the actual pool, it would have

been $341.80 for a $2 ticket. Winning bettors got $77 added to

each $2 ticket. Free money is rarely there for the taking in

racing outside of carryover pools, but bettors got some of it on

Sunday.

Keeneland officials were reportedly meeting Tuesday to discuss

the situation and to determine whether to go forward with two

more scheduled guaranteed Pick 4's on Sunday, October 17, and

Sunday, October 24. As of this writing, Keeneland has decided to

continue with the guaranteed pools, but they'll reduce the Pick 4s

to only the guaranteed one in races 6-9. Normally, Keeneland

offers the Pick 4s in races 2-5, 4-7 and the last four.

On Sunday with the guaranteed pool, the middle Pick-4 had

already been eliminated. Keeneland claims the decision to now

eliminate the Pick 4 on races 2-5 was made to remove any

confusion about which Pick 4 was guaranteed. Bettors who normally

play all the Pick 4s have had their options drastically reduced.

Last Sunday's early Pick 4 had a pool of only $44,919.

HORSES TO WATCH

Friday (10/8)

1ST -- The early leaders barely changed position from start to

finish in the meet's first race, but MINING FOR SILVER (Silver

Charm) did rally from dead last to finish a decent fifth.

TRICKY DEVIL (Coronado's Quest) ran a freakishly fast time

while breaking her maiden, stopping the timer in 1:14 4/5 for 6 1/2

furlongs, just one tick off the track record.

2ND -- BARTENDING MIKE (Dove Hunt) was sent off as the 8-5

choice while dropping in claiming price, but appeared to clip

heels in the first turn and didn't look good finishing through

the stretch on the wrong lead.

3RD -- ROYAL EPIC (Tale of the Cat), the 9-5 favorite, was

unsettled when loaded in the gate, then ran into some trouble in

the first turn.

MOTHER SUPERIOR (Petionville) was steadied sharply when

Conduct (Broad Brush) bore out on the first turn.

WINNING SEASON (Lemon Drop Kid) was never able to save any

ground from post 11and could do no better than seventh.

4TH -- TORNADO WARNING (Belek) was hard used trying to the get

to the front from the outside, but could never get there and was

hung four wide.

7TH -- SUPER FUSE (Lite the Fuse) was off slowly in the

Phoenix Breeders' Cup (G3) and was steadied at the head of the

lane before unleashing a big late run to finish fourth.

CLOCK STOPPER (Gilded Time) rallied from far back while wide,

but ran into some trouble in mid-stretch and could not get

eventual winner Champali (Glitterman) in the final yards.

9TH -- SHARP LISA (Dixieland Band) ran a bang-up race in her

second career start, finishing second in the Alcibiades (G2). She

was steadied for a stride or two at the head of the lane, then

found running room when she dove to the rail in the very late

going only to be outfinished by RUNWAY MODEL (Petionville).

Saturday (10/9)

4TH -- CHEKHOV, a $3.3 million Pulpit colt, didn't have the

best of trips in his debut despite finishing second. He was away

slowly and had only three rivals beaten after a half-mile. After

being steadied briefly at the five-furlong pole, he launched a

good late run. Doesn't figure to remain a maiden much longer.

STUDENT COUNCIL (Kingmambo) was well back in the early going,

then made a big middle move while wide to finish fourth.

7TH -- PATRIOT ACT (A.P. Indy), who's still a maiden, ran a

big race to finish second in the Breeders' Futurity (G2). The

colt was going long for the first time and rallied strongly from

off the pace to be only two lengths behind the front-running

winner Consolidator (Storm Cat).

9TH -- ASPEN TREE (Holy Bull) was wide through the early part

of this race, then steadied in behind the leaders turning for

home. He found running room late along the rail and finished well

to be second.

Sunday (10/11)

1ST -- MAJOR FOCUS (Major Impact) was steadied between rivals

early and again turning for home before settling for sixth in

this claiming race.

2ND -- LIKE TO DO (Scatmandu) was unruly in the post parade

and in the starting gate, tossing rider Calvin Borel before the

start. She was rank during the running as well, finishing last

after flashing brief speed.

3RD -- CONFIRMED (Unbridled's Song) was steadied going into

the first turn and was last when heading up the backstretch. He

began to steadily pick off rivals and wore down the leader in the

final jump.

5TH -- SOUTHERN SURPRISE (Northern Prospect) was in position

turning for home, but had to check and offered no further

response.