Bubbles ready to burst as nine enter Blue Grass
Three weeks out from the Kentucky Derby (G1), there are a lot of places
owners and trainers of classic hopefuls would rather be than on the bubble. For
the nine colts entered in Saturday's $750,000
Grass S. (G1), the nine-furlong Polytrack heat at Keeneland offers an
opportunity for most to shed that status and lock in a spot in the starting gate
at Churchill Downs on May 1.
|
As was the case in last week's Ashland S. (G1), the filly counterpart to the Blue Grass, a California-based runner with positive experience on synthetic might prove to be the biggest danger. INTERACTIF (Broken Vow) is hoping to become the latest Todd Pletcher pupil to join the Derby field, and has a strong chance of doing so if able to repeat his second in the San Felipe S. (G2), where he finished a mere half-length behind subsequent Santa Anita Derby (G1) romper Sidney's Candy (Candy Ride [Arg]). Interactif has already displayed his talent once before a Keeneland throng, winning the Bourbon S. (G3) on the turf in October, and should be well-placed throughout by Rafael Bejarano. Another West Coaster, MAKE MUSIC FOR ME (Bernstein), still has a bit more to find on synthetic. Multiple Grade 1-placed at two, he found the switch to turf more to his liking when taking the Pasadena S. at Santa Anita last time for career victory number one. The Alexis Barba pupil was only fourth in the Breeders' Futurity (G1) over the main track last fall. AIKENITE (Yes It's True) could be the wild card based on his narrow second-place finish in the Breeders' Futurity. Though he failed to keep up with his contemporaries in Florida over the winter, the Dogwood Stable colorbearer's fondness for the Keeneland surface makes him a major threat. ODYSSEUS (Malibu Moon), meanwhile, is already a major prep winner having taken the Tampa Bay Derby (G3) with an improbable-looking re-rally in the stretch. Unfortunately, he could run himself out of the Derby picture if unable to adequately handle Polytrack in his first attempt.
|
PLEASANT PRINCE (Indy King), the 3-1 morning-line favorite off a tough beat
in the Florida Derby (G1), lost a maiden claiming race here by five lengths in
October, which is a cause for concern. Perhaps a better case could be made for
FIRST DUDE (Stephen Got Even). Though only fifth in the Florida Derby, the Dale
Romans charge closed well for second in his maiden special weight debut over
this strip. PADDY O'PRADO (El Prado [Ire]) tries this kind of surface for the
first time off a 2 1/2-length win in the Palm Beach S. (G3) on turf, where he beat
subsequent Lane's End S. (G2) victor Dean's Kitten (Kitten's Joy).
Synthetic specialist CODOY (Bernstein), who was disqualified from first in
the John Battaglia Memorial, is a potential sleeper though his deep-closing
style might not work given how the track has played during the first several
days of the meet.
|
An deeply talented group of fillies and mares will contest the $200,000 over 1 1/16 miles on the turf, led by 2008 champion turf female FOREVER TOGETHER (Belong to Me), who won this race last year and concluded her 2009 campaign with a third as the defending champion in the Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf (G1). Another champion from 2008, STARDOM BOUND (Tapit), will be trying turf for the first time after a poor effort on her preferred Santa Anita Pro-Ride in the La Canada S. (G2). CARRIBEAN SUNSET (Ire) (Danehill Dancer), who ran Forever Together to a head in the Diana S. (G1) last summer, has been idle since the Palomar H. (G2) on September 9 but might prove to be the biggest threat if she fires her best off the bench. WASTED TEARS (Najran) and QUIET HARBOR (Silver Deputy), one-two in the Honey Fox S. (G3) last time, have each been in outstanding form for months, while Grade 2 heroine SALVE GERMANIA (Ire) (Peintre Celebre) enters off a strong second in a Gulfstream allowance. Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup (G1) winner HOT CHA CHA (Cactus Ridge) probably has a few lengths to find on her elders. Only five were entered in the $250,000 Commonwealth S. (G2) at seven furlongs. TOGETHER INDY (Not for Love), NOT FOR SILVER (Not for Love), RAVALO (Mutakddim), IMPERIAL COUNCIL (Empire Maker) and CONGRESSIONAL PAGE (Orientate), will enter the gate in that order.
|
Course and distance specialists CHAMBERLAIN BRIDGE (War Chant) and SILVER
TIMBER (Prime Timber) are the top draws in the $100,000
at 5 1/2 furlongs on the turf. Both are previous winners of the Woodford S.,
which is contested at the fall meet, while Chamberlain Bridge was a only neck
behind in third in this race a year ago.
Authors
Categories
FEATURED PRODUCTS
Daily Selections
Full racecard analysis/expert picks for major tracks from America's top handicappers.
Buy Nowe-ponies Picks
E-Ponies computer-based figures have been around since 1997. Using an algorithm written by the business owner and handicapper, Liam Durbin, and powered by BRIS data files, E-Ponies offers a unique, fact-based, dispassionate analysis of every horse in every race, assigning scores for speed, class, form, connections, and more. Forget which jockey owes you money! What does the data say!
Buy NowBruno With the Works
Bruno De Julio & team bring 30+ yrs experience observing racehorses to Brisnet with valuable insight into their morning routines & chances for success in the afternoons.
Buy NowValue Plays AI by Predicteform
Full race card program with easy-to-use win chances and contender classifications for every runner plus analysis of the Best Bet, Live Longshot, and Wagering Suggestions for every race.
Buy NowADVERTISEMENT





