Commentary
COMMENTARY
by John Mucciolo
Five straight graded stakes wins, three of the Grade 1 variety. Clearly the
best turf horse in the West, but also a winner over the best main-track runners in the
Pacific Classic. Yet the Donald Warren-trained Acclamation gets
little credit.
The bay son of Unusual Heat will not make the trip to Churchill
following a minor setback, but that doesn't take away from the superb season this one
has put forth. And we think he needs more acclaim for his
year, especially in the voting for Horse of the Year.
Acclamation started his campaign with a pair of subpar
runs but has really turned it on since, rolling up five
straight victories from distances spanning nine to 12 furlongs, all in Grade 1 or 2
company. The Pacific Classic score further proved his versatility, showing he
could win on the main oval against the top handicap runners in California.
With so many marginal candidates currently being discussed for Horse of the
Year,
it's nonsensical to think that Acclamation should not be thrown into in the mix,
perhaps put on the top of the current list of contenders.
Acclamation put in a full body of work comparable to or better than his foes,
owns more Grade 1 tallies than any horse but one (tied with Cape Blanco with
three), proved the ability to win at various trips and on different surfaces,
and gets a lot of style points for the ease in which he won his races.
Some claim that the California-bred five-year-old, who is fully expected to come back and compete in
2012, hasn't proven himself against much this year. But that is an arbitrary
point, isn't it? The belief here is that there is so much parity in racing that
maybe all of these horses are really good. It is possible, however, that none of
them are standouts. So when in doubt, we go the resume. And there is no denying
that Acclamation has a CV equal to or better than nearly every horse who has
competed in 2011.
As for the conceived lack of competition the bay has faced, we note that the
Acclamation defeated a pair of Grade 1 winners in the Pacific Classic,
toyed with some of the best miler/middle-distance runners out West in the
Grade 1 Eddie Read, and proved tons the best against the top stayers in
California, including 2010 Breeders' Cup Turf runner-up Champ Pegasus.
Acclamation has some flaws: his abysmal showing at Charles Town didn't
exactly prove that he can ship with success and his loss in the Grade 1 Kilroe
Mile (a decent fifth in his seasonal debut) might turn some voters off. I admit
that the future stallion is not an overwhelming Horse of the Year candidate, but
the whole lot of challengers have flaws as well. And
Acclamation's accomplishments to date stack up somewhat favorably to them all.
Below is a list of the current Horse of the Year contenders (in no official
order):
Havre de Grace -- Probable leader has been nearly
flawless in 2011 and proved her mettle with a pretty convincing score in the
Grade 1 Woodward Stakes over the boys at Saratoga in the summer. Daughter of Saint Liam
has been a dominant force in her division throughout the year, but if she were
to fall short of making the exacta in the Classic, her chances would be greatly
diminished. With that said, she can put this issue to bed with a strong showing
in the Breeders' Cup. And it will be no surprise to see her continue to run
well. Havre de Grace is five-for-six in 2011, a nose shy of being unbeaten, with wins on
four different ovals.
Flat Out -- Durable son of Flatter has "danced every dance" since the
summer for conditioner Scooter Dickey. The sturdy bay should be lauded
for his consistency at the highest level, and is a worthy adversary no doubt,
but the loss to Havre de Grace could lead to his undoing. His string of
performances in the Grade 2 Suburban Handicap (win), Grade 1 Whitney Handicap
(second), Woodward (second) and Grade 1 Jockey Club Gold Cup (win) are
excellent.
Stay Thirsty -- "Other" Todd Pletcher-trained sophomore has taken down the
Grade 1 Travers Stakes, Grade 2 Jim Dandy Stakes and Grade 3 Gotham Stakes this season,
and finished second in the Belmont Stakes and third in the recent Jockey Club Gold
Cup. The son of Bernardini has put in a strong second half of the year, but
it seems hard to look past his poor showings in both the Kentucky Derby and
Grade 1 Florida Derby. He needs to win the Classic to earn votes, period.
Cape Blanco -- Irish import had a fine summer on the grass in the states
before retiring due to injury earlier this month. The Aidan O'Brien-trained
stalwart pulled off a most-impressive Grade 1 triple, winning the Man o' War,
Arlington Million and, most recently, the Joe Hirsch Turf Classic, but the
five-year-old toppled a pair of small fields in his three stateside efforts and
is in the discussion for champion turf horse only.
Union Rags -- Mega-talented son of Dixie Union has been the best of his
class to this point for conditioner Michael Matz and the freshman colt could
turn out to be any kind. The unbeaten youngster is the sure-fire favorite in the
Breeders' Cup Juvenile and a win there makes him a lock for an Eclipse Award. But even
if he wins impressively at Churchill and all the top contenders falter in the
Classic, Union Rags would still be a
stretch. Voters aren't likely to side with a two-year-old with such a limited
resume.
Game on Dude -- Bob Baffert trainee would boast wins in the Classic, Grade 1 Santa
Anita Handicap and Grade 1 Goodwood Stakes, as well as a nose second in the
Grade 1 Hollywood Gold
Cup, if he were to run the race of his life at Churchill. However, the son of Awesome
Again was fourth on the Polytrack in the Pacific Classic, placed in
both the Grade 3 Lone Star Park Handicap and Charles Town Classic, and there is
plenty of doubt whether he can transfer his Santa Anita form elsewhere. Game on
Dude won't be one of the favorites in the Classic wagering, but he'll be a
deserving Horse of the Year candidate with a win.
Uncle Mo -- The ultra-talented sophomore is no doubt a brilliant
individual, and the star of the Pletcher barn, but his season to this point consists of a win in the
Grade 2 Kelso Handicap and the listed Timely Writer S. Even a Classic tally wouldn't bolster his resume
enough in my opinion.
In a year where no winner of a Triple Crown race has won since his historic
score, and that there is no dominant handicap runner at this juncture, it might
be hard just having three names on the Horse of the Year ballot if a surprise occurs in the Breeders' Cup Classic on November 5.
The name Acclamation
would surely be among my trio.
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