Commonwealth Turf
TRACK BANDIT PREVIEWS
|
COMMONWEALTH TURF S. (G3), 9TH-CD, $100,000, 3YO, 1 1/16MT, 4:37 P.M. EST, 11-13 | ||||
| PP | HORSE | TRAINER | JOCKEY | WT |
| 1 |
UAREOUTLAW (BRZ) |
MAKER MICHAEL J |
MENA M |
123 |
| 2 |
CELTIC NEW YEAR |
PEERY CHUCK |
HOMEISTER R B J | 119 |
| 3 |
DARK COVE |
MCPEEK KENNETH G |
THERIOT H J II | 119 |
| 4 |
GUYS REWARD |
ROMANS DALE |
LANERIE C J | 117 |
| 5 |
LIGHTHOUSE SOUND |
TROMBETTA MICHAEL J |
BOREL C H | 119 |
| 6 |
STORMY LORD |
BLACK IAN |
CASTANON J L | 121 |
| 7 |
MISTER MARTI GRAS |
BLOCK CHRIS |
BRIDGMOHAN S X | 121 |
| 8 |
TURALLURE |
LOPRESTI CHARLES |
ALBARADO R J | 121 |
| 9 |
MYSTIC |
MOTT WILLIAM I |
DESORMEAUX K J | 119 |
| 10 |
THUNDER BREW |
PECORARO ANTHONY |
LEBRON VICTOR | 121 |
| 11 |
YANKEE FOURTUNE |
MCLAUGHLIN KIARAN P |
SANTIAGO VICTOR | 123 |
| 12 |
DON CAVALLO |
ATTFIELD ROGER |
CONTRERAS LUIS | 117 |
| 13 |
BEAU CHOIX |
TAGG BARCLAY |
LEPAROUX JULIEN | 121 |
Thirteen three-year-olds will contest Saturday's $100,000 Commonwealth Turf S. (G3)
at Churchill Downs, and a couple of top contenders are stuck in outside posts in
the 1 1/16-mile affair. MISTER MARDI GRAS (Belong to Me) drew well in post 7 and
we'll tab the stakes winner for top honors.
Trained by Chris Block, Mister Mardi Gras exits a commendable runner-up
effort in the Hawthorne Derby (G3) in which the winner was loose on an unopposed
lead. Saturday's race sets up much better for the confirmed late runner, who
earned strong BRIS Speed (98) and Late Pace (106) numbers last time, and we like
the way he's been training in advance of his Churchill Downs debut. The Grade 2
runner-up can get the job done here with Shaun Bridgmohan.
BEAU CHOIX (Elusive Quality) enters this event on the upswing for Barclay
Tagg, finishing second in the Restoration S. at Monmouth Park prior to a third
in the Jamaica H. (G1) last out, and we won't be surprised to see him notch his
first graded victory in this spot. The chestnut will pick up the services of top
local turf rider Julien Leparoux, but we don't like his extreme starting
position (post 13).
YANKEE FOURTUNE (Yankee Gentleman) is going good for Kiaran McLaughlin,
remaining perfect on the turf with a 2 1/4-length score in the Hawthorne Derby
last time, and will be looking for his fifth straight victory on Saturday. The
front-running colt has shown that he doesn't need the early lead to win, but
he'll face difficult circumstances here with a couple of front runners to his
inside from post 11. If jockey Victor Santiago can find a way to save some
ground while not over-exerting his mount during the early stages, Yankee
Fourtune may have enough class to notch another win.
Brazilian Group 1 winner UAREOUTLAW (Brz) (Christine's Outlaw) wasn't a
serious factor when finishing sixth in his U.S. debut, the Indiana Derby (G2),
but the Mike Maker trainee is better on turf and could show more here at long
odds. He's listed at an attractive 15-1 on the morning line and should be able
to save ground from post 1, and we'll use him on the bottom of exotics.
GUYS REWARD (Grand Reward) ran well over the course when third in the
American Turf S. (G2) earlier this season and is one to consider for the exotics
Saturday at long odds. He earned a freshening in mid-August and returned from a
two-month hiatus with a sharp allowance score at Keeneland last out, and the
late runner could crash the top three here beneath Corey Lanerie. TURALLURE (Wando)
is another one to consider for a minor award. The Charles Lopresti trainee has
reeled off three straight wins on turf, including a victory over Brass Hat
(Prized) two back at Ellis Park, and he'll likely be forwardly placed here with
Robby Albarado. We think this race sets up better for an off-the-pace type, but
Turallure remains eligible to keep things rolling. We won't dissuade anybody
from using him, but we'll have to let him beat us in his graded debut.
MYSTIC (Unbridled's Song) is going well for Bill Mott, but his BRIS numbers
are a little light and he could be a little overbet here on the class hike.
LIGHTHOUSE SOUND (Langfuhr) and STORMY LORD (Stormy Atlantic) both do their best
running on or close to the lead, but we can't envision either one sustaining
their speed in this spot. DARK COVE (Medaglia d'Oro) turned out to be a good claim for $25,000 three
back, winning two straight allowance events for Kenny McPeek, but he's facing a
significant class check. We'll just watch to see how he handles graded company.
THUNDER BREW (Milwaukee Brew) will need to improve significantly upon his last
couple of efforts to challenge. DON CAVALLO (El Prado [Ire]) could be in too
deep from his bad post (12). CELTIC NEW YEAR (North Light [Ire]) probably needs
a softer spot to be effective.
| TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: | 1st-MISTER MARDI GRAS | |
| 2nd-BEAU CHOIX | ||
| 3rd-YANKEE FOURTUNE |
Authors
Categories
FEATURED PRODUCTS
Daily Selections
Full racecard analysis/expert picks for major tracks from America's top handicappers.
Buy Nowe-ponies Picks
E-Ponies computer-based figures have been around since 1997. Using an algorithm written by the business owner and handicapper, Liam Durbin, and powered by BRIS data files, E-Ponies offers a unique, fact-based, dispassionate analysis of every horse in every race, assigning scores for speed, class, form, connections, and more. Forget which jockey owes you money! What does the data say!
Buy NowBruno With the Works
Bruno De Julio & team bring 30+ yrs experience observing racehorses to Brisnet with valuable insight into their morning routines & chances for success in the afternoons.
Buy NowValue Plays AI by Predicteform
Full race card program with easy-to-use win chances and contender classifications for every runner plus analysis of the Best Bet, Live Longshot, and Wagering Suggestions for every race.
Buy NowADVERTISEMENT



