Winning with Workouts - 12/23

WINNING WITH WORKOUTS

DECEMBER 23

In this regular weekly feature, Handicapper's Report will present examples of

how to use workouts in your handicapping using actual results with horses

featured in our reports. To access the HR reports and to see the highlights of

our recent results,

click here.

Today's Topic: A disappointing race following good morning workouts can

lead to nice mutuels next time out

Trouble lines or improper placement of horses that have been working well in

the morning can lead to a sub par performance that inflate their odds next time

they run. It is important to remember that a horse was working well prior to its

last race and look for reasons that led to the poor performance. We include the

workouts prior to each horse's last race for that purpose in our Daily Clocker's

Report.

Two examples of this topic presented themselves on November 16 at Hollywood

Park. In the 2ND race, ASONG FOR BILLY (Unbridled's Song) had been working very well prior to his

return to racing from an eight-month layoff and according to the HR Trip Notes

for that race he “bobbled sharply a stride out of the gate, dropped back…"

In addition, the race was one of the toughest non-winners of two other than

maiden or claiming ever run at Hollywood. The winner, Truly a Judge (Judge T C), got an HR

performance rating two points higher than par for a stakes race, and indeed

Truly a Judge came back to win the Native Diver H. (G3). ASONG FOR BILLY won

going away at $13.80, bet down from a 10-1 morning line.

In the 6TH race, AMMANN had worked well and was tabbed by our clocker before

being entered over his head in a $50K claimer on the turf. Our Trip Notes for

that race on AMMANN said "still think he's…better on dirt." He got the needed

drop in class (as called for by our clocker) to $25K in a route on the dirt and

paid $9.80 to win.