BC Turf
BREEDERS' CUP
PREVIEWS
|
BREEDERS' CUP TURF (G1), 10TH-CD, $3,000,000, 3YO/UP, 1 1/2MT, 6:00 P.M. EDT, 11-6 | ||||
| PP | HORSE | TRAINER | JOCKEY | WT |
| 1 |
CHAMP PEGASUS |
MANDELLA RICHARD E |
ROSARIO JOEL | 126 |
| 2 |
WINCHESTER |
CLEMENT CHRISTOPHE |
VELASQUEZ CORNE | 126 |
| 3 |
TELLING |
HOBBY STEVE |
CASTELLANO J J | 126 |
| 4 |
DEBUSSY (IRE) |
GOSDEN JOHN H M |
BUICK WILLIAM T | 126 |
| 5 |
AL KHALI |
MOTT WILLIAM I |
LEPAROUX JULIEN | 126 |
| 6 |
WORKFORCE (GB) |
*STOUTE M R |
MOORE RYAN L | 122 |
| 7 |
BEHKABAD (FR) |
*ROUGET J C |
LEMAIRE C | 122 |
| 8 |
DANGEROUS MIDGE |
MEEHAN BRIAN |
DETTORI LANFRAN | 126 |
WORKFORCE (GB) (King's Best), a brilliant winner of the Epsom Derby (Eng-G1)
and gut-wrenching victor of the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (Fr-G1), is either one
of the locks of Breeders' Cup weekend or one of the vulnerable favorites. We'll
know for sure at the end of Saturday's 1 1/2-mile Breeders' Cup Turf (G1), worth
$3 million, but in advance of the race we'll choose to take a stand against him.
From a class perspective, the second best horse on paper might be BEHKABAD
(Ire) (Cape Cross [Ire]), who finished four lengths behind Workforce in the Arc.
That was hardly a poor effort from a colt who had previously won the Grand Prix
de Paris (Fr-G1) and Prix Niel (Fr-G2), and if Workforce should regress a little
bit this one would only have to run back to his recent best to pull off a minor
upset. He can give the Aga Khan another victory in this race, joining the likes
of Lashkari (GB) and Kalanisi (Ire).
The lightly-raced Workforce appears to be Europe's best horse in training at
the moment, and can not be taken lightly at all following the aforementioned
victories. Those wins book-ended a weak performance in the King George VI and
Queen Elizabeth S. (Eng-G1), an effort trainer Sir Michael Stoute takes the blame
for as he claims to have over-trained the colt. That has not reportedly been the
case leading up to the Turf, but we do wonder how much the Arc took out of him as
it was his first outing in more than two months.
The best of the American contingent looks like WINCHESTER (Theatrical [Ire]),
who could follow in his father's hoofsteps with a victory here. He's landed
top-level scores this season in the Manhattan H. (G1) and Joe Hirsch Turf Classic
Invitational (G1), the former over stablemate and dual champion Gio Ponti (Tale
of the Cat), and is in arguably career-best form for trainer Christophe Clement.
DANGEROUS MIDGE (Lion Heart), a Group 3/handicap type in England, and
Arlington Million (G1) winner DEBUSSY (Ire) (Diesis [GB]) probably don't have
the class to keep up with either of the top selections. The former enters with
progressive formlines having recently taken the Arc Trial S. (Eng-G3) for
trainer Brian Meehan, who won the last edition of this race contested at
Churchill with Red Rocks (Ire). The rider on Red Rocks? Frankie Dettori, who
takes the reigns on this one. Can lightning strike twice?
Debussy, who followed up his Arlington Million upset with a third in the
Champion S. (Eng-G1), is trained by the ever-dangerous John Gosden, and might
rate a bit more highly here if he takes to this course as well as did Arlington.
He's one to consider for a small share under William Buick.
AL KHALI (Medaglia d'Oro), who defeated Winchester by a neck in the Bowling
Green H. (G1) two back, looks unlikely for the upset after a close fourth
against softer in the Canadian International (Can-G1). He earned a career-best
107 BRIS Speed rating in that loss, so there's the possibility of regression.
Two-time Sword Dancer Invitational (G1) winner TELLING (A.P. Indy) and recent
Clement L. Hirsch Memorial Turf Championship (G1) winner CHAMP PEGASUS (Fusaichi Pegasus)
look too slow on paper.
| TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: | 1st-BEHKABAD (Fr) | |
| 2nd-WORKFORCE (GB) | ||
| 3rd-WINCHESTER |
Authors
Categories
FEATURED PRODUCTS
Daily Selections
Full racecard analysis/expert picks for major tracks from America's top handicappers.
Buy Nowe-ponies Picks
E-Ponies computer-based figures have been around since 1997. Using an algorithm written by the business owner and handicapper, Liam Durbin, and powered by BRIS data files, E-Ponies offers a unique, fact-based, dispassionate analysis of every horse in every race, assigning scores for speed, class, form, connections, and more. Forget which jockey owes you money! What does the data say!
Buy NowBruno With the Works
Bruno De Julio & team bring 30+ yrs experience observing racehorses to Brisnet with valuable insight into their morning routines & chances for success in the afternoons.
Buy NowValue Plays AI by Predicteform
Full race card program with easy-to-use win chances and contender classifications for every runner plus analysis of the Best Bet, Live Longshot, and Wagering Suggestions for every race.
Buy NowADVERTISEMENT




