Ben Ali
TRACK BANDIT PREVIEWS
| BEN ALI S.
(G3), 8TH-KEE, $150,000, 4YO/UP, 1 1/8M, 4:35 P.M. EDT, 4-19 | ||||
| PP | HORSE | TRAINER | JOCKEY | WT |
| 1 |
ADRIANO |
MOTT WILLIAM I |
LEPAROUX JULIEN | 117 |
| 2 |
GRASSHOPPER |
HOWARD NEIL J |
ALBARADO R J | 117 |
| 3 |
DOMINICAN |
MILLER DARRIN |
PRADO E S | 117 |
| 4 |
YOUR ROUND |
HUBLEY MARK |
MENA M |
117 |
| 5 |
MONBA |
PLETCHER TODD A |
GOMEZ G K | 117 |
| 6 |
STERWINS |
PIERCE MALCOLM |
BRIDGMOHAN S X | 117 |
| 7 |
PARADING |
MCGAUGHEY CLAUDE III | DESORMEAUX K J | 117 |
Sunday's $150,000 Ben Ali S. (G3) attracted past Blue Grass S. (G1) winners
MONBA (Maria's Mon) and DOMINICAN (El Corredor), but we'll side with ADRIANO
(A.P. Indy), who will make his first appearance over a synthetic track since
capturing last year's Lane's End S. (G2).
Adriano turned in a superb showing over Turfway Park's Polytrack, earning a
career-best 101 BRIS Speed rating for his 2 1/2-length score in the
aforementioned Lane's End, and he went on to show his class on the turf last
season, winning the Kent S. (G3) at Delaware Park and recording a close fourth
in the National Museum of Racing Hall of Fame S. (G2) at Saratoga following a
troubled trip. He'll make his first start since a narrow fourth in the grassy
Hawthorne Derby (G3) in October, but trainer Bill Mott excels off layoffs,
winning at a 23 percent clip. The Hall of Fame trainer is enjoying a solid Keeneland meet, and Adriano has a good four-furlong work over the track. He'll
get the hot-riding Julien Leparoux in the saddle, and the chestnut colt figures
to get overlooked in the wagering off the layoff. We believe Adriano can prove
very successful at four this season, and he should be forwardly placed off a
slow pace before offering his best in this 1 1/8-mile affair.
Monba outkicked Cowboy Cal (Giant's Causeway) by a neck to win last year's
Blue Grass and appeared set for a successful three-year-old season afterward,
but he struggled over the dirt in the Kentucky Derby (G1), finishing last of 20, and
wasn't seen again under silks until this February. Following a solid third in
the Thunder Road H. (G3), the Todd Pletcher trainee rallied for fourth-place
honors in the Santa Anita H. (G1), and the gray colt will make his third start
off the layoff here. We wouldn't discourage anybody from using Monba on top in
any wager, but he hasn't shown much speed in his two starts this year. We're
worried that he could leave himself a little too much to do from off the pace.
Dominican likes the Keeneland main track, winning the 2007 Blue Grass over
subsequent Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense and finishing second in October's
Fayette S. (G3), and the five-year-old gelding shows a five-furlong bullet work
over the Polytrack on April 8. Edgar Prado will pick up the mount for trainer
Darrin Miller, but the late-running chestnut is too inconsistent for us to back
on the top spot in any exotics. We'll use him on the bottom only.
Defending Ben Ali champion STERWINS (Runaway Groom) also merits consideration
for part. Trained by Malcolm Pierce, the Canadian-bred gelding has been training
well over the Keeneland strip in preparation for this start and received a
useful tightener when second in a Fair Grounds allowance/optional claimer last
time in his 2009 bow. He rolled to a 3 1/4-length victory 12 months ago, but the
six-year-old never received a challenge from runner-up Go Between and
will face a deeper cast this year.
PARADING (Pulpit) just missed in a turf allowance at Keeneland earlier this
meet, and the Shug McGaughey runner is very honest, finishing in the money in
five of his last six starts. We can't recommend his chances here, but we won't
be surprised to see him run well.
GRASSHOPPER (Dixie Union) finished second in his career bow over Keeneland's
Polytrack, but the Grade 3 winner doesn't bring sharp form into this event,
recording a pair of seventh-place finishes in his two starts this season. YOUR
ROUND (Distorted Humor) is winless in five previous attempts over an all-weather
track and may find these rivals too difficult for him.
| TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: | 1st-ADRIANO | |
| 2nd-MONBA | ||
| 3rd-DOMINICAN |
Authors
Categories
FEATURED PRODUCTS
Daily Selections
Full racecard analysis/expert picks for major tracks from America's top handicappers.
Buy Nowe-ponies Picks
E-Ponies computer-based figures have been around since 1997. Using an algorithm written by the business owner and handicapper, Liam Durbin, and powered by BRIS data files, E-Ponies offers a unique, fact-based, dispassionate analysis of every horse in every race, assigning scores for speed, class, form, connections, and more. Forget which jockey owes you money! What does the data say!
Buy NowBruno With the Works
Bruno De Julio & team bring 30+ yrs experience observing racehorses to Brisnet with valuable insight into their morning routines & chances for success in the afternoons.
Buy NowValue Plays AI by Predicteform
Full race card program with easy-to-use win chances and contender classifications for every runner plus analysis of the Best Bet, Live Longshot, and Wagering Suggestions for every race.
Buy NowADVERTISEMENT



