Calder season ends with La Prevoyante, Tropical Turf
A shakeup in south Florida's racing dates for the upcoming winter season has
the Tropical meeting at Calder ending Friday, a month earlier than in years
past. Though the curtain falls on a weekday, it will feel more like a typical
December Saturday at Calder as the closing program features both the Grade 3,
$100,000 La Prevoyante Handicap and the Grade 3, $100,000
The La Prevoyante, for fillies and mares at 1 1/2 miles on the turf, has
endured a lot of shaking up of its own in recent years. Traditionally contested
in December through 2008, the race was moved to April in 2009 and was not run at
all in calendar year 2010. The La Prevoyante's most renewal was on January 2
this year after it was postponed from its original December 11, 2010 date.
The potential favorite in the La Prevoyante, the Jonathan Sheppard-trained
Emerald Beech, was a rising star among older female turf marathoners over the
summer when taking the Waya Stakes and Grade 3 Glens Falls Stakes in consecutive
starts at Saratoga. Fourth over boggy ground in the Grade 1 Flower Bowl
Invitational two back, the five-year-old looked flat when checking in fifth as
the choice in the Grade 3 Long Island Handicap at Aqueduct last time. A return
to her best form under regular rider Alex Solis would make her difficult to
beat.
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Another looking to rebound from a couple recent losses is Cheetah, who made a dazzling last-to-first rally in the Grade 3 Robert G. Dick Memorial at Delaware Park in July. Fifteen lengths off the leaders at one point, the four-year-old gray exploded in the final furlongs to win by 3 3/4 lengths. Up the track in the Grade 1 Beverly D. Stakes next out, Cheetah most recently retreated to third in the October 23 Dowager Stakes at Keeneland after racing closer to the pace than usual and making a premature lead. Senada, who rallied from well off the pace to take the Dowager by three parts of a length, had previously chased Emerald Beech in both the Waya and Glens Falls. Only a neck behind that rival in the Waya, the margin expanded to nine lengths in the Glens Falls, which was contested over soggy ground. Hall of Fame trainer Shug McGaughey sends out Casablanca Smile for her second attempt at the La Prevoyante this year. Her second-place effort in the January 2 running came on the heels of a seven-length domination of the 2010 Dowager, but the ultra-consistent Chilean import has not raced since that runner-up finish to Changing Skies. The remainder of the La Prevoyante participants are likely to start at high odds. The lone possible exception is the lightly-raced Canadian invader Thislilsoulofmine, who remains eligible for a first-level allowance but is trained by Roger Attfield, who saddled the top two finishers in last weekend's Grade 2 W.L. McKnight Handicap at Calder.
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Attfield saddles two -- Mobilizer and former Canadian champion Hollinger --
in the Tropical Turf, a nine-furlong grass test for older horses. Though both
have a shot to upset, the bulk of the wagering will likely center on Mr. Ryder
and Stormy Lord.
The Christophe Clement-trained Mr. Ryder won three straight over the summer,
including the Sussex Stakes at Delaware, and most recently finished a close
third in the Grade 3 Knickerbocker Stakes to Boisterous, who went on to captured
the Grade 2 Red Smith Handicap. Stormy Lord, meanwhile, has blown hot and cold
this season. However, he's made the most of it when in the zone by winning four
stakes, including the Grade 2 Connaught Cup at Woodbine. The gelding enters on a
two-race win streak having taken the PTHA President's Cup at Parx Racing
on September 17 and the Labeeb Stakes at Woodbine on October 30.
Silver Medallion, one of two three-year-olds in the field, won the Grade 3 El
Camino Real Derby in February but failed to make it to the classics after
running fourth in his final two preps. A stakes winner on turf as a juvenile,
Silver Medallion switched from trainer Steve Asmussen to Todd Pletcher over the
summer, was a close second to Hollinger in his allowance comeback on October 7,
and last time was third in the Grade 3 Commonwealth Turf Stakes at Churchill
Downs.
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