Churchill Downs Notebook
CHURCHILL DOWNS NOTEBOOK
JUNE 7, 2007
by John Mucciolo
A trio of stakes races headlined the four-day race week.
Aristides Breeders' Cup S. (G3): Tea Party Stable's FABULOUS STRIKE (Smart Strike) lived up to his 4-5 billing
with a convincing win beneath Ramon Dominguez. The four-year-old gelding was on
cruise control for the entirety of the race, stopping the timer in a near track
record 1:07 3/5 for six furlongs under little urging for trainer Todd Beattie.
Dogwood Breeders' Cup S. (G3): Bentley Smith Revocable Trust's LADY JOANNE (Orientate) was trapped for much
of this one, but the Carl Nafzger charge found room inside the sixteenth pole
and got up for an impressive tally in here. Ridden by Calvin Borel, the talented
three-year-old miss went one mile in 1:35 1/5 en route to her third consecutive
score upon this surface.
Opening Verse H.: Charles Patton's THERECOMESATIGER (Tiger Ridge) angled four wide into the
stretch and collared 6-5 choice Icy Atlantic (Stormy Atlantic) near the wire to
capture this one for trainer Tom Proctor. The 4-1 longshot in the four-horse
field saved ground early before putting in his final surge, getting 1 1/16 miles
in 1:43 3/5 over the firm turf. Jamie Theriot piloted the gelding.
Track Stats
From 41 contests held at the historic racetrack, favorites won 15 of the
races (37 percent) while the top two betting options combined for 26 of the wins
(63 percent). From 30 frays contested on the main oval, six runners won in
wire-to-wire fashion (20 percent), while two of the 11 grassy winners led at
every call (18 percent).
Meet Totals:
| RACES: | 265 | |
| DIRT: | 213 | |
| TURF: | 52 | |
| FAVORITES: | 86 (32 percent) | |
| 2ND CHOICES: | 53 (20 percent) | |
| TURF WIRE: | 10 (19 percent) | |
| DIRT WIRE: | 45 (21 percent) |
HORSES TO WATCH
Thursday (5/31)
7TH – INTERESTING (Sandia Slew) hasn't been headed in two turf sprints over
this course and looks to be stakes bound for conditioner Jeff Talley. The
chestnut mare was given a 90 BRIS Speed number for her 3 1/4-length score here.
Friday (6/1)
4TH – FANTASTIC BUD (Grand Slam) looked especially good late in this maiden
contest and gives the impression of a horse who could stretch out for trainer
Greg Foley. The chestnut was no match against better on the Kentucky Derby (G1) undercard
in his lone two-turn try, but deserves another route try. The colt earned a 100 BRIS Late Pace figure and a career-topping 93 Speed number.
9TH – QUASICOBRA (Wild Rush) ran a winning race and was questionably DQ'd
from the top slot in here for Patrick Biancone. The stakes-quality sophomore has
run three solid races in 2007 and appears to have a bright future. The gelding
registered an 89 Speed number in his turf debut.
Saturday (6/2)
4TH – ITSAWONDERFULLIFE (Ire) (Danehill Dancer) put in a solid late run in
her U.S. bow and should be a big factor in her next venture. The Biancone charge
had little chance with the winner but beat the rest by a good margin after being
in the clouds in the early going. The runner-up scored an 82 Speed number.
10TH – Fabulous Strike was simply awesome in this dash, taking over when the
gates opened en route to a facile two-length victory. The Todd Beattie trainee
was rewarded with a 109 Speed figure, marking the fifth consecutive outing in
which the speedster has garnered a Speed number of 107 or better. Wow!
Sunday (6/3)
6TH – Trainer David Vance had sent out just three first time winners in the
last five plus years before this one, when his juvenile filly KADIRA (Kafwain)
dusted a decent group. The Kentucky-bred was prominent early before pulling away
to a convincing 3 3/4-length score, earning a robust 95 Speed figure. We'll
surely keep an eye on this one down the road.
7TH – NOLA STAR (Three Wonders) dueled through a fast early pace, pulled
clear into the stretch and fought gamely to the wire in a fine runner-up
performance. The sophomore miss earned whopping E1 and E2 Pace numbers of 112 and 118, respectively, and will be tough to deal with next try for Ken McPeek.
A look ahead
The stakes action takes a breather this weekend, as the Louisville, Kentucky,
venue prepares for it's second biggest day of the spring met, Stephen Foster
Day, on June 16. In addition to the $750,000 Stephen Foster H. (G1), five other
graded events will be held on this day: the $300,000 Fleur de Lis H. (G2), $200,000
Jefferson Cup S. (G2), $200,000 Regret S. (G3), $200,000 Northern Dancer
Breeders' Cup H. (G3) and $150,000 Mint Julep H. (G3).
Authors
Categories
FEATURED PRODUCTS
Daily Selections
Full racecard analysis/expert picks for major tracks from America's top handicappers.
Buy Nowe-ponies Picks
E-Ponies computer-based figures have been around since 1997. Using an algorithm written by the business owner and handicapper, Liam Durbin, and powered by BRIS data files, E-Ponies offers a unique, fact-based, dispassionate analysis of every horse in every race, assigning scores for speed, class, form, connections, and more. Forget which jockey owes you money! What does the data say!
Buy NowBruno With the Works
Bruno De Julio & team bring 30+ yrs experience observing racehorses to Brisnet with valuable insight into their morning routines & chances for success in the afternoons.
Buy NowValue Plays AI by Predicteform
Full race card program with easy-to-use win chances and contender classifications for every runner plus analysis of the Best Bet, Live Longshot, and Wagering Suggestions for every race.
Buy NowADVERTISEMENT



