Del Mar Oaks
TRACK BANDIT PREVIEWS
|
DEL MAR OAKS (G1), 9TH-DMR, $300,000, 3YO, F, 1 1/8MT, 6:00 P.M. PDT, 8-21 | ||||
| PP | HORSE | TRAINER | JOCKEY | WT |
| 1 |
BERG BAHN (IRE) |
LYONS G M |
SOLIS A | 122 |
| 2 |
ANTARES WORLD |
SPECHT STEVE |
ALVARADO F T | 122 |
| 3 |
PERFECT SHIRL |
ATTFIELD ROGER |
SUTHERLAND C | 122 |
| 4 |
EVENING JEWEL |
CASSIDY JAMES |
ESPINOZA V | 122 |
| 5 |
DISTINCTIVE (GB) |
SMART BRYAN |
BLANC B | 122 |
| 6 |
HARMONIOUS |
SHIRREFFS JOHN |
SMITH M E | 122 |
| 7 |
IT TIZ |
GLATT MARK |
FLORES D R | 122 |
| 8 |
WEEKEND MAGIC |
CHO MYUNG KWON |
QUINONEZ ALONSO | 122 |
| 9 |
CRISP |
SADLER JOHN W |
BEJARANO R | 122 |
| 10 |
WARREN'S JITTERBUG |
GUTIERREZ JORGE |
VALENZUELA P A | 122 |
PERFECT SHIRL (Perfect Soul [Ire]) lived up to her family's legacy with a 9-1
upset of the Lake George S. (G2) at Saratoga last month, and is our choice to
add Saturday's Del Mar Oaks (G1) to her scorecard. The Roger Attfield trainee
enters the 1 1/8-mile grass test with three straight wins to her credit and will
be reunited with Chantal Sutherland, who guided the filly to a maiden and
allowance scores at Woodbine earlier in the summer.
A half-sister to multiple Grade 1 winner Shakespeare and the Grade 2 heroine
Lady Shakespeare, both by Theatrical (Ire), Perfect Shirl has spent half her
racing career running on synthetics, but on turf is where she's made a name for
herself. A solid second in her grass debut in March, the bay later reacquainted
herself with the surface when taking the aforementioned maiden at Woodbine by 2
1/2 lengths, then wore down 11 rivals to take the Lake George by three parts of
a length two starts later. She earned a BRIS Late Pace rating of 102 when
rallying from midpack, the kind of kick that can prove successful against these.
There's absolutely nothing wrong with likely favorite EVENING JEWEL (Northern
Afleet) except her expected short price. She's gutted out wins in the Honeymoon
H. (G2) and San Clemente H. (G2) in her last two, and is easily among the best
California-based sophomore fillies regardless of surface. On paper, she doesn't
figure to have too much company on the front end, thus she might not have to
expend too much energy in the early stages. Having to stretch out here to nine
furlongs, perhaps her uppermost limit, that will be crucial. This gem of
consistency has finished first or second in 10 of 11 starts, and we expect that
trend to continue.
We thought about selecting HARMONIOUS (Dynaformer) for the top slot as she's
undefeated in three turf appearances including the American Oaks (G1) last out.
Instead, we'll take a stand against as she takes on a much tougher group this
time. With its reduced purse this year, the American Oaks came up rather soft,
which partially explains why a filly with just a maiden and allowance win to her
credit walked away with a score at the highest level. Perfect Shirl and Evening
Jewel are far better than any filly she faced at Hollywood, and her Late Pace
ratings of 86, 79 and 91 are a bit soft for high-end turf performers.
WEEKEND MAGIC (Ecton Park) was third in the American Oaks but validated that
form somewhat when finishing less than a length behind Evening Jewel in the San
Clemente. While we don't expect her to progress enough to upset this field, she's
shown in her two turf outings to be among the better fillies in her division in
the region. IT TIZ (Tiznow) landed the Le Cle S., an overnight event at
Hollywood, two back, but endured a horribly wide trip in the final quarter-mile
of the San Clemente. Four-wide entering the stretch, she was five-wide crossing
the finish in sixth, and was beaten less than two lengths. Three back, she
defeated Lilly Fa Pootz (Gilded Time) in an allowance, and that rival narrowly
missed last week in the John C. Mabee S. (G2). The formlines look strong on this
one.
CRISP (El Corredor), the Santa Anita Oaks (G1) winner, ran second in the Le
Cle and fourth in the San Clemente. In the latter, she clipped heels with a
rival around the clubhouse turn. She seemed to recover OK as she was already
near the back of the field at the time of the incident, and made up a moderate
amount of ground and position late. Our gut tells us she'd be more formidable in
a main-track event. ANTARES WORLD (Decarchy) was a near 13-1 chance when finishing
second in the American Oaks. The Golden Gate-based filly is one of the few who
could conceivably keep Evening Jewel from running away with this, but we don't
think the multiple stakes winner ultimately has the class to keep up with that.
We predict a form reversal against tougher field.
The European invaders, BERG BAHN (Ire) (Big Bad Bob) and DISTINCTIVE (GB) (Tobougg
[Ire]), are both Group 3 winners and ran one-four, respectively, in the Brownstown S. (Ire-G3)
at Fairyhouse when last seen June 30. We're not quite convinced they're classy
enough to beat the hometown folks off the plane. WARREN'S JITTERBUG
(Affirmative), who beat California-bred foes last time, looks to be the outsider
of this race. Though she owns a good mark on this course, she's shown a tendency
to settle for minor checks throughout her career.
| TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: | 1st-PERFECT SHIRL | |
| 2nd-EVENING JEWEL | ||
| 3rd-HARMONIOUS |
Authors
Categories
FEATURED PRODUCTS
Daily Selections
Full racecard analysis/expert picks for major tracks from America's top handicappers.
Buy Nowe-ponies Picks
E-Ponies computer-based figures have been around since 1997. Using an algorithm written by the business owner and handicapper, Liam Durbin, and powered by BRIS data files, E-Ponies offers a unique, fact-based, dispassionate analysis of every horse in every race, assigning scores for speed, class, form, connections, and more. Forget which jockey owes you money! What does the data say!
Buy NowBruno With the Works
Bruno De Julio & team bring 30+ yrs experience observing racehorses to Brisnet with valuable insight into their morning routines & chances for success in the afternoons.
Buy NowValue Plays AI by Predicteform
Full race card program with easy-to-use win chances and contender classifications for every runner plus analysis of the Best Bet, Live Longshot, and Wagering Suggestions for every race.
Buy NowADVERTISEMENT



