Elkhorn
TRACK BANDIT PREVIEWS
|
ELKHORN S. (G3), 9TH-KEE, $200,000, 4YO/UP, 1 1/2MT, 5:15 P.M. EDT, 4-27 | ||||
| PP | HORSE | TRAINER | JOCKEY | WT |
| 1 |
BEE CHARMER (IRE) |
MATZ MICHAEL R |
PRADO E S | 118 |
| 2 |
DRILLING FOR OIL |
MCPEEK KENNETH G |
ALBARADO R J | 118 |
| 3 |
CLOUDY'S KNIGHT |
MCMULLEN JAMES |
LEPAROUX JULIEN | 118 |
| 4 |
ALWAYS FIRST (GB) |
VOSS THOMAS H |
GOMEZ G K | 118 |
| 5 |
HARD DECK |
SEITZ FRED |
CASTELLANO J J | 118 |
| 6 |
RAMAZUTTI |
PLETCHER TODD A |
VELAZQUEZ J R | 120 |
| 7 |
TRANSDUCTION GOLD |
GLENNEY JOHN |
DESORMEAUX K J | 118 |
| 8 |
ASCERTAIN (IRE) |
O'CALLAGHAN NIALL M |
THERIOT H J II | 118 |
| 9 |
LAST ANSWER |
KEOUGH MICHAEL |
RAMSAMMY E | 118 |
| 10 |
SPIDER POWER (IRE) |
MCLAUGHLIN KIARAN P |
BEJARANO R | 118 |
| 11 |
PELLEGRINO (BRZ) |
ATTFIELD ROGER |
BRIDGMOHAN S X | 118 |
| 12 |
JAZIL |
MCLAUGHLIN KIARAN P |
JARA FERNANDO | 118 |
| 13 |
FRI GUY |
ROMANS DALE |
GOMEZ G K | 118 |
Keeneland will conclude its 15-day meet with an excellent closing-day
feature, Friday's $200,000 Elkhorn S. (G3), and it's no surprise to see a full
field loaded with attractive betting options. With rain falling in the
Lexington, Kentucky, area on Thursday and more expected Friday, there's the
possibility of an off turf in the 1 1/2-mile affair.
BEE CHARMER (Ire) (Anabaa) recorded a commendable score when making his U.S.
debut over a yielding course at Keeneland in October, defeating a couple of
Elkhorn rivals in a 12-furlong allowance. He made his next start at Gulfstream
this year, notching a one-length score over firm ground in an allowance/optional
claiming event. Favored in the January 28 Mac Diarmida H. (G2) last out, the bay
never fired, fading to 12th, and we're throwing that uncharacteristic effort
out. The French stakes runner has worked well since then for Michael Matz,
posting three moves at Keeneland since April 6, and Edgar Prado retains the
mount aboard the stalker. Bee Charmer should relish the marathon distance and
the return to the turf at Keeneland, and we'll look for him to earn his first
stakes win.
ASCERTAIN (Ire) (Intikhab) enters on the upswing for Niall O'Callaghan,
winning a nine-furlong Keeneland allowance by two lengths on April 7, and he
handled Friday's distance when finishing a close third in the Stars and Stripes
Breeders' Cup Turf H. (G3) last summer. The six-year-old gelding should settle into a
perfect spot behind the other speed in the field, and Ascertain can finish,
registering a 114 BRIS Late Pace rating last time. We'll tab him to complete the
exacta.
Belmont S. (G1) winner JAZIL (Seeking the Gold) will be making his turf debut
for Kiaran McLaughlin, and his breeding suggests that the surface change will be
no problem. Jazil doesn't own much of a winning attitude, recording three
seconds and a fourth in four of his last five starts, and he has to overcome the
far outside post, but the classic winner certainly appears capable of a top-three placing
with his best effort..
RAMAZUTTI (Honor Grades) loves longer distances and captured the 1 3/8-mile
Mac Diarmida earlier this year. Trained by the ever-dangerous Todd Pletcher, the
five-year-old gelding will likely be on or very close to the early lead with
jockey John Velazquez, and Ramazutti figures to get first jump on the closers.
We can't count him out from consideration for it all.
DRILLING FOR OIL (Giant's Causeway) loves a route of ground and should
appreciate the stretch-out following a solid third in a 1 1/8-mile allowance at Keeneland. Trained by Kenny McPeek, the four-year-old colt has some class
concerns in this spot, but he offers some appeal for the exotics at long odds
given his late kick. CLOUDY'S KNIGHT (Lord Avie) came to hand for trainer James
McMullen at Fair Grounds, winning a Grade 3 two starts back and finishing second
in the Mervin H. Muniz Jr. Memorial H. (G2) most recently, and he offered good
value in both starts. However, he'll be one of the favorites here with Julien
Leparoux, and we have our doubts whether he'll carry his form forward in
Kentucky. We won't be surprised to see another top-class showing, but Cloudy's
Knight has never been the most consistent performer and looks like an overlay in
this spot.
ALWAYS FIRST (GB) (Barathea [Ire]) will make his first start since finishing
a non-threatening third in the Sycamore Breeders' Cup S. (G3) in October. The
Grade 2 winner has the back class to challenge, but he's raced sparingly since
2005. We'll give him a race off the layoff. PELLEGRINO (Brz) (Nugget Point
[Ire]) is the defending Elkhorn champion, but we wonder whether he's sharp
enough presently to repeat.
SPIDER POWER (Ire) (Royal Applause [GB]) displayed some promise last summer
for McLaughlin, but his last three efforts have been too dismal for us to
recommend his chances. LAST ANSWER (Langfuhr) owns some promising Speed ratings,
but he's raced mostly at Woodbine, recording unplaced finishes in his only two
attempts outside of Toronto. It's difficult to have much confidence in this
spot.
HARD DECK (Boundary) exits a solid second in a Gulfstream allowance at this
distance, but the maiden winner is difficult to recommend here. A former maiden
claimer, he'll need to improve significantly to challenge in his stakes debut.
TRANSDUCTION GOLD (Formal Gold) ran a big race on the lead in the Mervin Muniz,
but we can't envision him sustaining his speed here.
FRI GUY (Theatrical [Ire])
will need to draw in from the also-eligibles list. If he does get in, we expect
him to add to the pace before fading.
| TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: | 1st-BEE CHARMER (Ire) | |
| 2nd-ASCERTAIN (Ire) | ||
| 3rd-JAZIL |
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