Hollywood Notebook
HOLLYWOOD NOTEBOOK
JULY 13, 2011
by John Mucciolo
Trainer Bob Baffert stole the show this weekend at Hollywood
Park.
Hollywood Gold Cup (G1): Donald Dizney's hombred FIRST
DUDE (Stephen Got Even) outgamed a pair of stubborn and talented foes to come
through in this historic race. Trained by Bob Baffert, who saddled the one-two
finishers while winning the Gold Cup for the third time in his Hall of Fame
career, the burly four-year-old got up by a nose in completing 1 1/4 miles on
the Cushion in 2:01 2/5 beneath Martin Garcia.
Swaps S. (G2): Robert Evans' homebred DREAMY KID (Lemon
Drop Kid) waited patiently while close in last to the top of the lane, and came
home with a powerful finish to nail odds-on Coil (Point Given) under Joe Talamo.
The rapidly improving colt won by a head in 1:50 2/5 over nine panels for
conditioner Neil Drysdale.
Track Stats
From a total of 35 races held over the Inglewood racetrack
during the four-day race week, favorites won at a 20 percent clip and the top
two betting choices combined for 51 percent of the wins. From 24 frays contested
on the Cushion oval, six animals won in wire-to-wire fashion (25 percent), while
three of the 11 grassy tussles went all the way on the lead (27 percent).
We thought runners taking a wide path might have benefited
slightly this week on the main oval, especially on Friday and Saturday, when
horses breaking from the outside posts won eight-of-12 Cushion races.
Of the trio of wire jobs on the turf, two came in the form of
sprint races. Speed is and has been good on this lawn we would say.
There were nearly as many $20+ winning horses this week, a total
of six, in comparison to the seven favorites that cashed in.
Meet Totals
| RACES: | 436 | |
| CUSHION: | 304 | |
| TURF: | 132 | |
| FAVORITES: | 153 (35 percent) | |
| 2ND CHOICES: | 97 (22 percent) | |
| TURF WIRE: | 37 (28 percent) | |
| CUSHION WIRE: | 77 (25 percent) |
Main Track Post Positions (wins):
| RAIL: | 38 | |
| 1-3: | 110 | |
| 4-6: | 103 | |
| 7-out: | 65 |
HORSES TO WATCH
Thursday (7/7)
3RD -- RED ALERT DAY (GB) (Diktat) returns to this list
following another sharp performance, taking this one going away late for John
Sadler. The hard-trying six-year-old is versatile and consistent, and he should
not be taken lightly when placed properly.
6TH -- CANDREA (Trippi) is a full to the multiple stakes-winning
Dream of Angles and looked to be of stakes-quality herself following a real
sharp debut victory for Baffert. The juvenile miss was under wraps late and will
be going for a stakes win in her next outing.
8TH -- STUNNINGLY (Full Mandate) made up a good deal of ground
to split a good pair for this level, and the Mike Puype charge makes sense in
her next start with even slight improvement.
Friday (7/8)
7TH -- CAUGHT A FLYER (Skimming) has to be considered a threat
next time after looking a fine foe in the eye in the lane and turning him back
today. The five-year-old gelding should be a decent price being from the small
Dominic Fama barn, too.
Runner-up DANCE WITH GABLE (Dance Floor) seemingly always fires
and will surely be a factor joining the Ted West barn following the claim.
Saturday (7/9)
4TH -- DREAMY KID improved dramatically with the addition of
blinkers and we think he may continue to develop into a very productive horse
this season, on the main and/or turf oval, after this strong tally.
9TH -- ALLEY HONDRO (Skimming) was a bit out of his element
being pretty far back early on this day, but the Ron Ellis trainee made up for a
poor outing last time, inching clear late with Joel Rosario. The gelding has run
well in three of his last four and should be ready for the next step.
Sunday (7/10)
2ND -- GILLIGAN (Grand Reward) was a pretty easy winner once
again for Mike Mitchell and did not get claimed coming out of this race. He'll
be a short price in his next one at something close to this level.
3RD -- AMERICAN LION (Tiznow) should have gotten a lot of his
first run since finishing 11th in the 2010 Kentucky Derby (G1) for conditioner
Eoin Harty. The multiple graded winner broke alertly and showed some fight in
the lane while surely needing one. Look for more next time.
9TH -- COAL REGION KID (Medaglia d'Oro) had to settle for a
minor award once again, but the Bob Hess, Jr. charge tried hard while finishing
12 1/4 lengths clear of third. He'll win soon.
A Look Ahead
Sunday marks the closing day of the spring/summer meet here, but
the Inglewood, California, venue goes out in style with a huge weekend before
the action shifts to Del Mar on July 20.
The $250,000 American Oaks (G1) stars on a card that also hosts
the $200,000 A Gleam S. (G2) and a pair of listed events, on Saturday.
Closing day is led by the $100,000 Sunset H. (G3) and $100,000
Hollywood Juvenile Championship S. (G3).
Authors
Categories
FEATURED PRODUCTS
Daily Selections
Full racecard analysis/expert picks for major tracks from America's top handicappers.
Buy Nowe-ponies Picks
E-Ponies computer-based figures have been around since 1997. Using an algorithm written by the business owner and handicapper, Liam Durbin, and powered by BRIS data files, E-Ponies offers a unique, fact-based, dispassionate analysis of every horse in every race, assigning scores for speed, class, form, connections, and more. Forget which jockey owes you money! What does the data say!
Buy NowBruno With the Works
Bruno De Julio & team bring 30+ yrs experience observing racehorses to Brisnet with valuable insight into their morning routines & chances for success in the afternoons.
Buy NowValue Plays AI by Predicteform
Full race card program with easy-to-use win chances and contender classifications for every runner plus analysis of the Best Bet, Live Longshot, and Wagering Suggestions for every race.
Buy NowADVERTISEMENT



