Malibu
| MALIBU S.
(G1), 8TH-SA, $250,000, 3YO, 7F, 3:52 P.M. (PST) | ||||
| PP |
HORSE |
TRAINER |
JOCKEY |
WT |
| 1 |
THOR'S ECHO |
O'NEILL DOUG |
ESPINOZA V |
121 |
| 2 |
GREELEY'S GALAXY |
STUTE WARREN |
DESORMEAUX K J |
121 |
| 3 |
YES HE'S A PISTOL |
O'NEILL DOUG |
DOUGLAS R R |
115 |
| 4 |
ATTILA'S STORM |
SCHOSBERG RICHARD |
VALENZUELA P A |
119 |
| 5 |
SHAMOAN (IRE) |
HARTY EOIN |
VALDIVIA J JR |
119 |
| 6 |
PROUD TOWER TOO |
GONZALEZ SAL |
COHEN DAVID |
119 |
| 7 |
UNBRIDLED ENERGY |
MANDELLA RICHARD E |
GOMEZ G K |
117 |
| 8 |
JACK'S WILD |
GUTIERREZ JORGE |
JOHN K |
115 |
| 9 |
ALEXANDERSRUN |
STEIN ROGER M |
PEDROZA M A |
115 |
| 10 |
DILIGENT PROSPECT |
O'NEILL DOUG |
COURT J K |
115 |
| 11 |
FUSAICHI ROCK STAR |
BAFFERT BOB |
FUJITA SHINJI |
117 |
| 12 |
NINETY FINE |
STUTE MELVIN F |
SANTIAGO JAVIER |
115 |
| 13 |
OSIDY |
MANDELLA RICHARD E |
SOLIS A |
117 |
| 14 |
WILKO |
DOLLASE CRAIG |
NAKATANI C S |
115 |
The 54th running of the Malibu S. (G1) highlights Monday's opening day card
at Santa Anita and a contentious mix of 14 sophomores is set for the
seven-furlong test. A fast pace appears inevitable with the preponderance of
speed in the lineup, and we'll give the edge to the late-running WILKO (Awesome
Again) from the far outside.
Trained by Craig Dollase, Wilko captured the 2004 Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1)
from just off the pace in his U.S. bow, earning a 110 BRIS Late Pace rating, and
did not disgrace himself when finishing a third in both the Hollywood Futurity
(G1) and Santa Anita Derby (G1) after that. In the latter, Wilko recorded
triple-digit BRIS Speed and Late Pace numbers, but the chestnut colt was dogged
by a quarter crack problem last spring and wound up being sidelined following
unplaced efforts in the Kentucky Derby (G1) and Preakness (G1). Wilko returned
to the races in the six-furlong Larkspur S. at Golden Gate Fields on December 10
and raced in last down the backstretch before uncorking a furious rally, falling
just a head short after a wide trip. He notched another century-topping Late
Pace figure (107) and the Larkspur should serve as the perfect tightener. The
added ground is a benefit, and we'll look for Wilko to get there in time on
Monday.
ATTILA'S STORM (Forest Wildcat) is the quickest member of the field and is a
threat to lead wire to wire. The improving bay colt made his graded bow in the
Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1) two starts back and battled gamely through wicked
fractions before weakening to fourth, beaten only 3 1/2 lengths. He received a
108 Speed rating for that effort and returned with a game victory in the Fall
Highweight H. on November 24. Attila's Storm has worked three times since then
for trainer Richard Schosberg, the last two coming at Santa Anita, and he
started his career on the West Coast, making his first two career starts in
Arcadia, California. Our biggest concern is that he'll face too much early
pressure, but jockey Pat Valenzuela might be able to nurse his mount's speed
throughout the seven-furlong affair.
SHAMOAN (Ire) (Monashee Mountain) ran well on the turf at Santa Anita earlier
this year and then transferred his form to the dirt, finishing second in the Lone
Star Derby (G3) before winning the Iowa Derby three starts back. He finished a
commendable fourth next out in the West Virginia Derby (G3) and we're willing to
overlook his poor finish in the grassy Del Mar Derby (G2) last out. The chestnut
gelding has had more success on the main track, earning excellent Speed and Late
Pace ratings, and turned in a sharp drill for this appearance, working five
furlongs in a bullet :59 last week (fastest of 61). Shamoan is an attractive
30-1 on the morning line and could have a say in the final outcome if he
continues to improve on dirt.
GREELEY'S GALAXY (Mr. Greeley) and OSIDY (Storm Cat) will run coupled due to
common ownership and we respect the chances of both. The former created a stir
earlier this year, romping over maiden special weight and allowance rivals at
Santa Anita prior to a brilliant 9 1/2-length score in the Illinois Derby (G2),
but the classics were probably too much too soon for the talented colt.
Greeley's Galaxy earned a lengthy vacation following a seventh in the Preakness
and has been training steadily for his return under the direction of Warren Stute. We would have liked to see a prep race for this tough seven-furlong race,
but Greeley's Galaxy still looks like a very dangerous presence from just off
the pace. Osidy could be a factor if he takes to the main track, but the Grade 3
winner has raced exclusively on the sod so far in his career. He has shown a
nice late turn of kick since arriving from Europe and could finish up for
a small share if the front runners falter.
UNBRIDLED ENERGY (Unbridled's Song) is an intriguing prospect for Richard
Mandella. Unraced since July, the gray colt showed some talent this spring,
recording a nice win in the Marine S. (Can-G3) at Woodbine prior to a second in
the Northern Dancer Breeders' Cup S. (G3) at Churchill Downs, and he received
very respectable Speed and Pace numbers for those efforts. We expect Unbridled
Energy to sit a favorable stalking trip under Garrett Gomez before offering a
rally, so consider for the top three.
FUSAICHI ROCK STAR (Wild Wonder) owns some appeal for the exotics given his
lone appearance over the track, a sharp one-length score in February's San
Vicente S. (G2), and we wouldn't be surprised to see the Bob Baffert colt return
with a sharp effort off the layoff. We'll include him on the bottom of some
gimmicks. DILIGENT PROSPECT (Diligence) reeled off three straight wins prior to
faltering as the favorite in the Perryville S. (G3) last out. The Doug O'Neill
charge will likely come out running off the brief freshening and we'll just
watch to see how he fares at this level.
YES HE'S A PISTOL (Yes It's True) may prove to be a wise claim for $80,000
two starts back, but the chestnut colt has class concerns here. JACK'S WILD (Lil
Tyler) will probably have a good pace to run at, but we doubt he's good enough
to challenge at this level. THOR'S ECHO (Swiss Yodeler) does his best running on
the front end and doesn't appear likely to make the early lead in this spot.
NINETY FINE (Event of the Year) faces a stiff class check and must overcome
an outside post. We'll pass. ALEXANDERSRUN (Sweetsouthernsaint) has raced mostly
around two turns and doesn't look fast enough to be competitive on the cut back
in distance. PROUD TOWER TOO (Proud Irish) could be in the early mix, but he
steps up to face open company and probably won't last.
| TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: | 1st-WILKO | |
| 2nd-ATTILA'S STORM | ||
| 3rd-SHAMOAN | ||
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