Pat O'Brien
TRACK BANDIT PREVIEWS
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PAT O'BRIEN H. (G2), 8TH-DMR, $300,000, 3YO/UP, 7F, 5:30 P.M. PDT, 8-24 | ||||
| PP | HORSE | TRAINER | JOCKEY | WT |
| 1 |
DECADO (IRE) |
GALLAGHER PATRICK |
SOLIS A | 113 |
| 2 |
REBELLION (GB) |
MOTION H GRAHAM |
BEJARANO R | 118 |
| 3 |
MIDNIGHT LUTE |
BAFFERT BOB |
GOMEZ G K | 122 |
| 4 |
LEWIS MICHAEL |
CATALANO WAYNE M |
DOUGLAS R R | 118 |
| 5 |
ARSON SQUAD |
HEADLEY BRUCE |
FLORES D R | 116 |
| 6 |
BARBECUE EDDIE |
KORINER BRIAN |
GRYDER A T | 115 |
| 7 |
DOPPIO |
GAINES CARLA |
VALDIVIA J JR | 114 |
| 8 |
IN SUMMATION |
CLEMENT CHRISTOPHE |
NAKATANI C S | 121 |
| 9 |
TALL TEXAN |
MANDELLA RICHARD E |
TALAMO JOSEPH | 113 |
| 10 |
HEWITTS |
HESS R B JR |
ESPINOZA V | 114 |
| 11 |
HURRY UP AUSTIN |
STUTE MELVIN F |
COURT J K | 114 |
| 12 |
HOW'S YOUR HALO |
WARD WESLEY A |
BAZE T C | 116 |
Sunday's $300,000 Pat O'Brien H. (G2) marks the return of champion sprinter
MIDNIGHT LUTE (Real Quiet). Although the Bob Baffert charge is entitled to win
this, we'll take a stab against the prohibitive favorite for two reasons: he's
making his belated 2008 debut and racing on Del Mar's Polytrack for the first
time. Neither of those factors could be enough to derail the reigning Breeders'
Cup Sprint (G1) hero, but taken together, they cause a smidgeon of concern to
creep in. Instead, let's swing for the fences with REBELLION (GB) (Mozart
[Ire]), who packs a bigger punch than his 15-1 morning-line price suggests.
Trained by Graham Motion, Rebellion has developed into a specialist at this
seven-furlong distance, or thereabouts, on synthetic surfaces. In his seasonal
reappearance, the handsome bay captured the Commonwealth S. (G2) on Keeneland's
Polytrack, and next time out, he rallied from last to win the Ack Ack H. (G3) on
Hollywood's Cushion Track. He failed to cope with two turns when winding up an
even fifth in the San Diego H. (G2), but reverting in distance should be just
what he needs to put his best foot forward. Rebellion must do that to spring an
upset, but we suspect that a big effort is in the offing. Regular rider Rafael
Bejarano is charged with masterminding the right trip from off the pace.
Midnight Lute rates as the class of the 12-horse field, and if he's anywhere
near his best, will kick off his five-year-old campaign in style. The dark bay
has been firing bullet works on the surface, so he has given every indication
that he's handling the Polytrack. Even so, training on it, and racing on it, can
be two different things. His only two prior synthetic tries are inconclusive,
for he won Keeneland's Perryville S. (G3) in a romp in 2006, but he was also
fourth as the even-money favorite in the 2007 Commonwealth. Garrett Gomez will
be back in the saddle aboard the Eclipse Award winner.
IN SUMMATION (Put It Back) has raced at Del Mar twice in his career, winning
the 2007 Bing Crosby H. (G1) in a last-gasp dive for the line and finishing a
troubled second as the defending champion last time out. That day, after being
compromised by traffic problems, the Christophe Clement pupil rallied to go down
by one length to the streaking Street Boss (Street Cry [Ire]). At this point, In
Summation looks like he'd prefer a bit longer than the Crosby's six furlongs,
and the extra ground of the Pat O'Brien could help him get back on the winning
track. He figures to attract support as the prime alternative to Midnight Lute,
though, and may not offer much value. Corey Nakatani will guide the
stalk-and-pounce type.
LEWIS MICHAEL (Rahy) looms as an attractive contender at 8-1 on the morning
line. The Frank Calabrese homebred boasts a sterling 6-2-3-0 mark on synthetic
ovals, including a smashing victory in last year's Washington Park H. (G2), a
runner-up effort to Midnight Lute in the Perryville, and a second in the 2007 Commonwealth in which Midnight Lute was fourth. In addition, the
full brother to champion Dreaming of Anna is eligible to move forward off his
fourth in the grassy Sea o' Erin H. in his 2008 bow. The seven furlongs might be
a bit short for him, but Lewis Michael has been training sharply at his
Arlington base and should not be discounted beneath Rene Douglas.
HOW'S YOUR HALO (Halo's Image) is intriguing based on his last outing, a
strong runner-up effort to top sprinter Benny the Bull (Lucky Lionel) in the
Smile Sprint H. (G2) at Calder. Also noteworthy is the fact that he will be
making his first start for Wesley Ward, who wins at a 26 percent clip with new
recruits. On the other hand, it's anyone's guess how he will adjust to a
synthetic track for the first time in his life, and he could have been flattered
by the Calder home court advantage in the Smile. BARBECUE EDDIE (Stormy
Atlantic) has turned in some valiant efforts in defeat, especially when narrowly
beaten by In Summation a couple of times this winter. We're a bit put off by his
throwing in the towel in the Bing Crosby, however, and would prefer to see a
more characteristic performance again before endorsing. He'll probably face
serious early pressure from HEWITTS (Concerto).
DOPPIO (Gentlemen [Arg]) looked sharp when taking a solid allowance/optional
claimer over the track. Considering that he was no match for Rebellion at
Keeneland, he's got to improve quite a bit to threaten here. TALL TEXAN (Point
Given) held his own against some stakes-quality allowance/optional claiming
foes, but he's a stab in the dark in his sixth lifetime start. If he weren't
trained by Richard Mandella, he would look even more suspect. ARSON SQUAD
(Brahms) has no shortage of back class, but we can't ignore the fact that his
downward spiral coincided with the shift from dirt to synthetic. HURRY UP AUSTIN
(Lake Austin) has class concerns in this spot, as does the speedy Hewitts.
DECADO (Ire) (Danehill Dancer) posted decent results in Ireland, but after four
unplaced efforts in Southern California routes, this has the earmarks of a sheer
experiment.
| TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: | 1st-REBELLION (GB) | |
| 2nd-MIDNIGHT LUTE | ||
| 3rd-IN SUMMATION |
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