Pennsylvania Derby
TRACK BANDIT PREVIEWS
|
PENNSYLVANIA DERBY (G2), 10TH-PHA, $1,000,000, 3YO, 1 1/8M, 5:30 P.M. EDT, 9-1 | ||||
| PP | HORSE | TRAINER | JOCKEY | WT |
| 1 |
STONES RIVER |
JONES J LARRY |
SAEZ GABRIEL | 117 |
| 2 |
READY SET |
MATZ MICHAEL R |
LEPAROUX JULIEN | 122 |
| 3 |
NUMAANY |
*SUROOR SAEED BIN |
CARMOUCHE K | 114 |
| 4 |
TIZ NOW TIZ THEN |
HARTY EOIN |
MENA M |
119 |
| 5 |
ONLY FOR NOW |
RITCHEY TIM F |
CARABALLO J C | 114 |
| 6 |
SMOOTH AIR |
STUTTS BENNIE F JR |
CRUZ M R | 122 |
| 7 |
WISHFUL TOMCAT |
CONTESSA GARY C |
MIGLIORE R | 114 |
| 8 |
ALAAZO |
MOTT WILLIAM I |
NO RIDER | 114 |
| 9 |
TWO STEP SALSA |
CANANI JULIO C |
PEDROZA M A | 122 |
| 10 |
ANAK NAKAL |
ZITO NICHOLAS P |
BRAVO J | 114 |
| 11 |
ATONED |
PLETCHER TODD A |
LEZCANO JOSE | 114 |
| 12 |
ACAI |
DUTROW RICHARD E |
NAKATANI C S | 114 |
| 13 |
POWER GAME |
MCGAUGHEY CLAUDE III | TRUJILLO E | 114 |
| 14 |
YOU AND I FOREVER |
MOTT WILLIAM I |
CASTELLANO J J | 114 |
A full field of 14 will chase the hefty purse in the $1 million Pennsylvania
Derby (G2) at Philadelphia Park on Monday, and we feel obliged to find a price
in here. The well-bred NUMAANY (A.P. Indy) impressed with his recent allowance
win at Saratoga and seems poised for a career showing, so we'll side with the
Godolphin runner. Trained by Saeed bin Suroor, the colt put forth arguably his
best race when third in the Al Bastakiya S. at Nad al Sheba versus older runners
and returned well after a poor grass showing. The Kentucky-bred is well
positioned in the three post and should be within range for the duration of the
nine furlongs.
The classy SMOOTH AIR (Smooth Jazz) has been expertly handled by Bennie
Stutts Jr. during his career and is well rested following a comprehensive tally in
the Ohio Derby (G2) in late May. The Florida-bred colt, who was an excellent
second in the Florida Derby (G1) earlier in this campaign, has failed to hit the
board just once in his career, with that one coming in the Kentucky Derby (G1). A strong
worktab and the presence of jockey Manoel Cruz add to the intrigue of the top
win candidate.
The performance of ATONED (Repent) in the Haskell Invitational (G1) was a throwout, as the
consistent colt was equipped with, and obviously didn't take to, blinkers. The
dark bay can run all day and he always seems to be in the mix, even though he's
settled for second on seven occasions in his career. The Todd Pletcher trainee
should improve dramatically and challenge for a placing under Jose Lezcano.
TIZ NOW TIZ THEN (Tiznow) made a big move turning for home in the Jim Dandy
S. (G2) last out before tiring to third, but the improving dark bay fits well
with this group and is another win threat in this deep field. Conditioned by the
red-hot Eoin Harty, the dark bay clearly prefers dirt to synthetic and is proven
at this trip. Miguel Mena will pilot the Kentucky-bred.
YOU AND I FOREVER (A.P. Indy) finished a game second to Travers S.
(G1) runner-up Mambo in Seattle (Kingmambo) most recently and has steadily improved for Bill
Mott. The Kentucky-bred is out of multiple Grade 1 vixen You (You and I), and has trained in
good fashion preparing for this, so we consider the bay another contender in
this group, even with the widest post.
Dual Grade 3 hero TWO STEP SALSA (Petionville) is among the top sophomores on
the West Coast and will make his dirt debut in here for Julio Canani. The
talented Kentucky-bred has never been worse than second while facing top
competition throughout 2008, and the only question that lingers over the dark
bay is his ability to handle dirt. A fair price should be available on the colt,
who would be no surprise in here.
POWER GAME (Dixie Union) has romped to two consecutive wins to start his
career for Shug McGaughey, and the intriguing prospect just blitzed a bullet
half-mile in advance of this. The well-bred sort is a half-brother to Grade 3
hero Survivalist (Danzig), suggesting his stamina will not be in question, and
the ease with which he has won thus far makes him a wildcard at a potentially big
price. Elvis Trujillo has the call. READY SET (Touch Gold) upset the West
Virginia Derby (G3) last out and is on a nice roll for conditioner Michael Matz.
Since dropping the blinkers four races back, the well-bred colt has won two,
with a neck second and a half-length third, posting BRIS Speed figures of
95 or more in each.
We've always had an eye on ALAAZO (A.P. Indy), but the well-bred Bill Mott
trainee has not lived up to expectations to date. The dark bay offered a solid
middle move in the Haskell before tiring to fourth over the Monmouth
oval, and this surface may be more conducive to his late-running style. It's
hard to back the dark bay to win, but we'll use him in many exotic wagers. The
surging STONES RIVER (Monarchos) has taken well to the Delaware surface for
trainer Larry Jones, romping in four straight by a combined 22 1/2 lengths. The
gray has useful Speed numbers and is well drawn on the rail, but he'll need
a perfect trip and improvement to win this.
ONLY FOR NOW (Tiznow) has rolled to three straight wins for Tim Ritchey and
is probably the now horse in the field. The late-blooming bay has earned 102 and
100 Speed figures in his last pair and should be awfully tough with even
minor improvement in his stakes debut. ANAK NAKAL (Victory Gallop) was a distant
fifth in the Jim Dandy S. for Nick Zito and he hasn't won in a long time, so
he's best used underneath on this day.
WISHFUL TOMCAT (Tactical Cat) has exploded to a pair of romps after being
stretched out to two turns for Gary Contessa, compiling wins at a combined 23
1/2 lengths. The New York-bred has been defeating next to nothing, but it's
still hard to omit such an improved performer. ACAI (Three Wonders) has improved
a great deal since transferring to the Richard Dutrow barn, winning two straight
and posting a 100 Speed number last out. The Florida-bred is going the
right way, but the 12 post won't do him any favors.
| TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: | 1st-NUMAANY | |
| 2nd-SMOOTH AIR | ||
| 3rd-ATONED |
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