San Pasqual
TRACK BANDIT PREVIEWS
| SAN PASQUAL H. (G2), 8TH-SA, $150,000, 4YO/UP, 1 1/16M, 4:07 P.M.
PST, 1-10 | ||||
| PP | HORSE | TRAINER | JOCKEY | WT |
| 1 |
MOSTACOLLI MORT |
SADLER JOHN W |
GOMEZ G K | 114 |
| 2 |
MARCHFIELD |
CASSE MARK |
HUSBANDS P | 118 |
| 3 |
INFORMED |
O'NEILL DOUG |
BAZE M C | 113 |
| 4 |
COWBOY CAL |
PLETCHER TODD A |
VELAZQUEZ J R | 117 |
| 5 |
NOBLE COURT |
SADLER JOHN W |
SMITH M E | 114 |
| 6 |
PAST THE POINT |
HARTY EOIN |
BEJARANO R | 116 |
| 7 |
WELL ARMED |
HARTY EOIN |
GRYDER A T | 121 |
| 8 |
MAGNUM (ARG) |
VIENNA DARRELL |
PEDROZA M A | 113 |
| 9 |
BLUE EXIT |
HOLLENDORFER JERRY |
FLORES D R | 113 |
| 10 |
BALL FOUR |
PLETCHER TODD A |
DECARLO C P | 118 |
| 11 |
RACKETEER |
ABRAMS BARRY |
SUTHERLAND C | 113 |
| 12 |
SLEW'S TIZZY |
O'NEILL DOUG |
ROSARIO JOEL | 116 |
WELL ARMED (Tiznow) will return to the races against 11 rivals in Saturday's
$150,000 San Pasqual H. (G2) at Santa Anita, and we won't go against the likely
favorite. His connections probably ran him too short on Breeders' Cup Day,
resulting in a disappointing ninth as the favorite in the Dirt Mile, and while
we like him better at nine furlongs or 1 1/4 miles, the Eoin Harty-conditioned
gelding did manage to win a Grade 2 event at 1 1/16 miles last year. He's been
training forwardly for his six-year-old debut, and we'll look for Well Armed to
be stalking the pace under Aaron Gryder before asserting his superiority.
Woodward S. (G1) runner-up PAST THE POINT (Indian Charlie) rebounded from a
disappointing fifth as the favorite in the Meadowlands Cup H. (G2) two starts
back to finish second in the Native Diver H. (G3) last time, and the
five-year-old gives Harty an excellent shot at the exacta on Saturday. He's won
on a synthetic track before, and the Darley colorbearer owns excellent tactical
speed, registering a 124 E2 Pace figure in the Woodward. Past the Point earned a
106 BRIS Speed rating on two occasions last season, and he'll enter this event
on the upswing.
MARCHFIELD (A.P. Indy) will invade from Canada for Mark Casse, and the
five-year-old ended his 2008 campaign in good form, recording a 2-2-0 mark in
his last four starts. He's drawn well in post 2, and the Canadian-bred horse is
two for two at the distance. Marchfield is a strong candidate to make his
presence felt in the lane under Patrick Husbands.
NOBLE COURT (Doneraile Court) is an intriguing entrant who could possibly
factor while stretching out in distance. A Grade 2 winner over seven furlongs,
the five-year-old did capture a two-turn event at Del Mar in 2007, and he
appears to be rounding back into top form presently for John Sadler following a
close third in the six-furlong Vernon O. Underwood S. (G3) last time. Noble
Court owns solid BRIS numbers, and he merits serious respect for the exotics.
MOSTACOLLI MORT (Hold for Gold) rallied for third behind Well Armed in the
San Diego H. (G2) last September, and the five-year-old will make his first start
for Sadler after being claimed for $80,000 in his last outing. He rallied well
for runner-up honors last time, netting a 113 BRIS Late Pace rating, and there
appears to be plenty of pace to set up his late run here. We also like the fact
that he'll be able to save ground from the rail. Consider for part at long odds.
COWBOY CAL (Giant's Causeway) ran well when finishing second in the Blue
Grass S. (G1) on Polytrack, but he got away with a soft pace on the lead that
afternoon and will have to revert to rating tactics here. He will be making his
third start off the layoff following two extremely promising efforts, a victory
in the Bryan Station S. (G3) via disqualification and a second in the Hollywood
Derby (G1), but we like the front-running colt better on turf and will try to
beat him in this spot. We still respect the Todd Pletcher trainee's chances for
a top-three finish.
Grade 2 hero BALL FOUR (Grand Slam) loves synthetic tracks and will take his
rivals as far as he can on the front end. Winner of the Fayette S. (G3) two
starts back at Keeneland, he weakened to third last time in the Native Diver and
will step up to face tougher here. We won't be surprised to see him last a long
way, but we'll let Ball Four beat us.
Native Diver upsetter SLEW'S TIZZY (Tiznow) will likely show early speed
after being marooned in the far outside post, but we can't envision him
sustaining it this time around. BLUE EXIT (Pulpit) was well-backed in his first
two U.S. starts, but he finished a dull fourth on the Pro-Ride in September
prior to a bad drubbing in the Oak Tree Derby (G2) last out. Considering how
consistent a performer he was in Europe, we'll need to see something positive
from the colt in the United States before backing him.
RACKETEER (Awesome Again) is drawn in post 11 and doesn't look fast enough to
challenge. INFORMED (Tiznow) will test stakes company once again for Doug
O'Neill, but he probably needs a softer spot to be effective. MAGNUM (Arg) (El
Compinche) owns plenty of back class, but we can't recommend his chances based
on his recent form.
| TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: | 1st-WELL ARMED | |
| 2nd-PAST THE POINT | ||
| 3rd-MARCHFIELD |
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