Sword Dancer
TRACK BANDIT PREVIEWS
|
SWORD DANCER INVITATIONAL S. (G1), 10TH-SAR, $500,000, 3YO/UP, 1 1/2MT, 5:47 P.M. EDT, 8-15 | ||||
| PP | HORSE | TRAINER | JOCKEY | WT |
| 1 |
GRAND COUTURIER (GB) | RIBAUDO ROBERT J | GARCIA A | 120 |
| 2 |
GENTLEMAN CHESTER |
NICKS RALPH E |
LEPAROUX JULIEN | 116 |
| 3 |
LAURO (GER) |
WOHLER ANDREAS |
CHAVEZ J F | 118 |
| 4 |
BETTER TALK NOW |
MOTION H GRAHAM |
DOMINGUEZ R A | 116 |
| 5 |
RISING MOON |
DUTROW RICHARD E |
DESORMEAUX K J | 116 |
| 6 |
AMERICAIN |
PLETCHER TODD A |
VELAZQUEZ J R | 118 |
| 7 |
TELLING |
HOBBY STEVE |
CASTELLANO J J | 116 |
| 8 |
QUIJANO (GER) |
SCHIERGEN PETER |
STARKE A | 123 |
| 9 |
BRASS HAT |
BRADLEY WILLIAM |
BOREL C H | 116 |
| 10 |
MUSKETIER (GER) |
ATTFIELD ROGER |
JONES JONO | 116 |
Saturday's $500,000 Sword Dancer Invitational S. (G1) at Saratoga features a
talented cast of 10 turf marathoners, headlined by two-time defending champion
GRAND COUTURIER (GB) (Grand Lodge). While the Bobby Ribaudo charge is eligible
to return to his best in his third start of the season, and at his favorite
spot, we're hesitant to back the 3-1 morning-line choice. Grand Couturier is
attempting what no one else has ever managed to do: win a third Sword Dancer.
Rather than try to buck history, we'd prefer to look elsewhere for our top
selection.
The fresh face of AMERICAIN (Dynaformer), who will be making his U.S. debut
for Todd Pletcher, offers an intriguing alternative to the usual cadre of
veterans. Formerly based in France, the Wertheimer et Frere homebred has been
plying his trade over considerably longer distances this season, most recently
scoring in the 15 1/2-furlong Prix Vicomtesse Vigier (Fr-G2) at Longchamp. He's
no plodder, however, for he placed third in a one-mile listed event as a
juvenile, and he won the Prix de l'Avre at this 12-furlong distance last year.
Americain flopped in his only prior attempt at the top level, checking in 11th
of 13 in the Grand Prix de Paris (Fr-G1) last summer, but the dark bay deserves
another shot. He has been training sharply, posting a five-furlong drill in :59
3/5 over the firm course last Sunday, and he will receive first-time Lasix. John
Velazquez will team up with Americain, who has shown some tactical speed in
France.
Grand Couturier has looked terrific in his two Sword Dancer victories. An
upset winner over eventual turf champion English Channel here in 2007, the bay
overcame considerable trouble to win convincingly again in 2008. He has captured
only one other race in the past two years, but it was sensational -- a 10
1/4-length romp over yielding ground in the Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Invitational
(G1) last fall. Grand Couturier won't get those conditions on Saturday, but he
will surely appreciate stepping back up to 1 1/2 miles for the first time this
season. Brought along specifically with this race in mind, the six-year-old
finished a creditable fifth in the Monmouth S. and the Man o' War S. (G1) most
recently, and he should turn in a stronger effort from off the pace for Alan
Garcia.
German/Italian highweight QUIJANO (Ger) (Acatenango) is another who ought to
relish the added ground of the Sword Dancer. Fresh off his second straight score
in the Gran Premio di Milano (Ity-G1), the Peter Schiergen veteran shipped to
Belmont and finished a steadily closing third in the 1 3/8-mile Man o' War. The
seven-year-old gelding will be conceding weight as he shoulders the top impost
of 123 pounds, but he figures to keep grinding away beneath regular rider
Andrasch Starke.
We could be seriously underestimating LAURO (Ger) (Monsun), the only horse to
get within hailing distance in Presious Passion's (Royal Anthem) course
record-smashing romp in the United Nations S. (G1). Trained by Andreas Wohler,
the dark bay has plenty of early foot and could end up setting the pace himself.
Our only concern with Lauro is the 1 1/2-mile distance. Although he landed the
Prix de l'Avre as a sophomore, Lauro has been well beaten in his two subsequent
tries at the trip. We won't be shocked if he answers this criticism, and at 10-1
on the morning line, he could be a sleeper.
MUSKETIER (Ger) (Acatenango) is in career-best form at present for Roger
Attfield. A four-length romper in the Singspiel S. (Can-G3) two back, the gray
turned in a strong front-running effort in the Man o' War, beating everyone
except the streaking Gio Ponti (Tale of the Cat). As impressive as that appears
on paper, we're not convinced that he can repeat the effort at Saratoga.
Musketier could find it a bit harder to shrug off Lauro's pace pressure in the
Sword Dancer, and over the extra furlong, he's not likely to keep the classy
closers at bay. Jono Jones, who has given the seven-year-old picture-perfect
rides, will be back at the helm.
The 10-year-old BETTER TALK NOW (Talkin Man), victor of the 2004 Sword Dancer
and a solid runner-up last year, will be charging late beneath Ramon Dominguez.
The Graham Motion charge was last seen finishing a rallying third to Gio Ponti
in the Manhattan H. (G1), and if he can summon up a similar closing kick, he can
grab a piece of the purse. On the other hand, Better Talk Now is not consistent
enough for us to back altogether confidently, and he tends to leave himself too
much to do. BRASS HAT (Prized), another popular old-timer, has found the
fountain of youth in this division. He has done little wrong of late, but we
have the nagging sense that he's just not up to winning a race of this caliber.
RISING MOON (Runaway Groom) would be an attractive contender in the unlikely
event of the Sword Dancer being rained off the turf. The Richard Dutrow trainee
is a hard-knocking type on the dirt, but he hasn't raced on the turf since
breaking his maiden more than two years ago. Although Rising Moon is proven at
the distance, he's an unknown quantity at this level on the grass. TELLING (A.P.
Indy), twice Grade 3-placed at this distance, has class concerns in this spot.
Multiple Illinois-bred stakes winner GENTLEMAN CHESTER (Chester House) was a
respectable second to Just as Well (A.P. Indy) in the Arlington H. (G3) in his
latest, but this is an entirely different league.
| TRACK BANDIT PREVIEWS: | 1st-AMERICAIN | |
| 2nd-GRAND COUTURIER (GB) | ||
| 3rd-QUIJANO (Ger) |
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