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Toboggan

Last updated: 3/11/05 8:52 PM

TRACK BANDIT PREVIEWS

TOBOGGAN H.

(G3), 3RD-AQU, $100,000, 3YO/UP, 6F, 1:56 P.M. EST, 3-12

 
PPHORSETRAINERJOCKEYWT
1PAPUAHUSHION MICHAEL EMIGLIORE R116
2SHAKE YOU DOWNLAKE SCOTT ALUZZI M J122
3JETS FANHUSHION MICHAEL EBRIDGMOHAN S X115
4PRIMARY SUSPECTHENNIG MARKFRAGOSO P115
5SUPER FUSEO'CONNELL KATHLEENARROYO N JR117
6HOUSTON'S PRAYERIWINSKI ALLENGARCIA A115

SHAKE YOU DOWN (Montbrook) makes his second straight start over the inner

track this year in Saturday's $100,000 Toboggan H. (G3) and, as he did in that

February 20 optional claiming event, appears poised to school his rivals on the

front end. The Scott Lake-trained gelding turned up his game a notch last time,

opening up a sizable early advantage through fast fractions before cruising to

an easy decision and earning a 107 BRIS Speed rating for the confidence-building

victory. We'll look for the classy seven-year-old to carry his form forward

against this company on Saturday.

PRIMARY SUSPECT (Hennessy) is the only opponent with enough gas to run early

with Shake You Down and enters this test off a couple of solid performances at

Gulfstream for trainer Mark Hennig. The four-year-old earned a 105 Speed rating

in his seasonal bow and then stepped up to face the classy Forest Danger

(Forestry) last time, finishing a respectable second and receiving another

triple-digit figure. Primary Suspect will be making his first start over the inner

surface and must avoid regressing off his last outing, but we wouldn't be

surprised to see him hold second the entire way.

PAPUA (Louis Quatorze) is probably the biggest threat from the three-horse

entry. The six-year-old loves the inner track (six wins) and exits a 3

3/4-length romp in which he sat close to the pacesetter before striking. The

Sustained runner doesn't own much early speed, but he could offer a challenge

for it all if the front runners falter.

HOUSTON'S PRAYER (Houston) owns a 1-3-1 mark from five attempts over the

inner oval and brings fine Speed and BRIS Late Pace numbers into this event. The

chestnut gelding hasn't proven himself at this level, but he may continue to

improve for trainer Allen Iwinski. SUPER FUSE (Lite the Fuse) will be running

late, but he comes off a dull showing at Tampa. We'll just watch here. JETS FAN

(Gold Token) returns off a freshening and has never run over the inner track.

We can't recommend his chances.

TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: 1st-SHAKE YOU DOWN
  2nd-PRIMARY SUSPECT
  3rd-PAPUA

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