Del Mar Notebook
DEL MAR NOTEBOOK
JULY 17, 2008
by John Mucciolo
Racing in Southern California shifts south on Wednesday with the
beginning of the Del Mar meet. Arguably the most picturesque oval in the nation,
Del Mar will run through September 2 and features 19 graded stakes races. The
$400,000 Eddie Read H. (G1) is the marquee event of the opening weekend. The
nine-furlong turf test is likely to attract multiple Grade 1 star DAYTONA (Ire)
(Indian Ridge) from the Dan Hendricks barn. The signature race at Del Mar is the
$1 million Pacific Classic S. (G1), which we be held on August 24.
We've identified trainers, jockeys and horses below that should
have a strong presence at this exciting meeting.
Trainers to Watch
Defending champ Doug O' Neill hasn't been on the hottest
streak as of late, but O' Neill has plenty of ammunition in his holster and
should challenge for leading trainer honors with numbers alone. In 2007, O'
Neill saddled a remarkable 151 horses over the duration of the meet, 73 more
than Jeff Mullins, who finished just three wins behind him.
Carla Gaines couldn't miss in the latter stages of the
Santa Anita meeting, but the filly hit a cold spell at Hollywood and will hope
to rebound at Del Mar. It only makes sense that this smart conditioner has good
success here and her horses come back into their best form.
Craig Dollase finished fifth in the trainers' standings
in 2007, posting an impressive 11 winners from just 34 starters. Dollase
had a 59 percent in the money rank last year and after a relatively quiet
Hollywood meet, we believe that the rising conditioner will come
out strong early at Del Mar. The diverse trainer wins with any type; juveniles,
stakes runners, turf horses, claimers.
Paddy Gallagher doesn't have a big enough stable to
challenge for top honors, but the Irishman has been pretty warm in recent times
and will almost surely have a few turf winners at this venue. Since the
inception of artificial surfaces, Gallagher has been much more dangerous with
juveniles and first-time starters, and the price is almost always right since
his percentages were so low on the dirt with youngsters.
Jockeys to Watch
Although Mike Baze crushed his competition in 2007, a few
fresh faces are sure to make the race much more interesting this time around.
Hollywood leader Rafael Bejarano gets some tremendous mounts from the top
trainers on the West Coast, and the superb rider knows how to find the wire.
We'll tab him as the 4-5 favorite to take the title. For the record, we still
expect Baze to excel at this racetrack because he was no fluke in 2007.
Garrett Gomez has decided to make Del Mar his home base
for the next two months or so, which could ultimately spell trouble for his
counterparts. The smooth-riding Eclipse Award winner gets live action in
virtually every race, and it's hard to argue that anyone is better on the grass.
Joel Rosario has ascended into one of the top jockeys in
California in a very short time, and we like his chances to pilot many winners
at Del Mar, including a handful at big prices. The youngster has been a very
quick study, but it would have been hard to have predicted he'd be second at
Hollywood in such a short time.
Horses to Watch
The unbeaten sensation ZENYATTA (Streey Cry [Ire]) could appear
as soon as August 2, in the $300,000 Clement Hirsch H. (G2) for conditioner John
Shirreffs. The long-striding dynamo is a must-see as she attempts to extend her
unbeaten mark. The four-year-old is among the most exciting horses currently in
training!
The turf distaff division is as promising as it's been in some
time out here, with stars such as VENTURA (Chester House), DIAMOND DIVA (GB) (Dansili
[GB]), PRECIOUS KITTEN (Catienus), LADY OF VENICE (Fr) (Loup Solitaire) and
RUTHERIENNE (Pulpit) possible for the $400,000 John C. Mabee H (G1) on August
3.
The handicapping puzzle for the Pacific Classic should be as
competitive as ever, with defending champ STUDENT COUNCIL (Kingmambo),
living-legend LAVA MAN (Slew City Slew), Hollywood Gold Cup S. (G1) one-two
finishers MAST TRACK (Mizzen Mast) and GO BETWEEN (Point Given), and possibly
sophomores TRES BORRACHOS (Ecton Park and COLONEL JOHN (Tiznow), adding to the
intrigue.
From a betting standpoint, we suggest players to come with a hefty
bankroll if they plan on delving into the card on a daily basis. The Polytrack
surface at Del Mar is a complete mystery as to how it might play, and we would
warn against bettors thinking that form at Hollywood will carry over to the
Oceanside venue. Our suggestion for wagering upon racing at Del Mar is as
follows:
1. Be patient in the early part of the meet. Track the particular bias, if
any, that occurs at the meet, and pay close attention to see if that bias shows
up on the following race day.
2. It sounds quite elementary, but get on a jockey and ride him for as long
as it stays profitable. The rider could be as important as the horse on this
surface, as we've seen at Keeneland in the past, and this could be a good way to
stay afloat during the meet. Certain riders simply know when to push the button.
3. There has always been superb grass racing throughout the Del Mar meeting,
and focusing on the green could help each player keep his/her sanity over the
grueling six-day weeks.
4. Win. It's always nicer to win when you gamble.
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