Santa Anita H.
TRACK BANDIT PREVIEWS
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SANTA ANITA H. (G1), 10TH-SA, $1,000,000, 4YO/UP, 1 1/4M, 4:30 P.M. PST, 3-3 | ||||
| PP | HORSE | TRAINER | JOCKEY | WT |
| 1 | AWESOME GEM | DOLLASE CRAIG | BAZE T C | 116 |
| 2 | EL ROBLAR | MANDELLA RICHARD E | MIGLIORE R | 114 |
| 3 | BOBOMAN | MANDELLA RICHARD E | SOLIS A | 115 |
| 4 | BALL FOUR | BIANCONE PATRICK L | LEPAROUX JULIEN | 116 |
| 5 | SPRING AT LAST | O'NEILL DOUG | FLORES D R | 115 |
| 6 | MOLENGAO (BRZ) | LOBO PAULO H | ESPINOZA V | 116 |
| 7 | LAVA MAN | O'NEILL DOUG | NAKATANI C S | 124 |
| 8 | ARSON SQUAD | HEADLEY BRUCE | GOMEZ G K | 117 |
| 9 | MCCANN'S MOJAVE | SPECHT STEVE | ALVARADO F T | 115 |
The $1 million Santa Anita H. (G1) is the centerpiece of the winter meet, and
the prestigious event will feature LAVA MAN (Slew City Slew), who will long be
remembered for his incredible accomplishments in Southern California. The $4
million earner became the first horse to sweep the Big 'Cap, Hollywood Gold Cup
(G1) and Pacific Classic (G1) in the same season last year, and he turned in
perhaps his best performance when annexing this event, registering a 110 BRIS
Speed rating. The Doug O'Neill-trained gelding returned to the races in fine
form in 2007, easily capturing the Sunshine Millions Turf at Santa Anita, but he
figures to be 3-5 on Saturday. We'll go out on a limb, but won't be surprised to
see the mighty Lava Man beat us.
MOLENGAO (Brz) (Royal Academy) was running in allowance and optional claiming events over the winter last year, but he looks much improved
this season, recording a game head victory in the February 4 San Antonio H. (G2)
last time out that netted him a 103 Speed and 116 Late Pace number. Trained by
Paulo Lobo, the six-year-old horse upped his mark to 3-2-0-1 over the main track
in Arcadia, California, and the late-running Molengao should get some pace to
set up his rally in here with BALL FOUR (Grand Slam) and perhaps a couple of
other rivals mixing it up on the front end. The 10-furlong distance is right up
his alley, and Molengao could be along in time to spring a major upset.
Lava Man has won eight straight in Southern California and as the saying
goes, all good things must come to an end. He isn't facing the
toughest group of rivals in this spot, and Lava Man proved in last year's
Hollywood Gold Cup, when he barely edged out Ace Blue (Brz) (Coax Me Clyde), that he can still
come out on top despite not being at the top of his game. The six-year-old
didn't run well in his last dirt start when shipping for the Breeders' Cup
Classic (G1), and he's going to make plenty of appearances on the turf this
year, with his next target being the $5 million Dubai Duty Free (UAE-G1) on the
grass at Nad al Sheba. He's had some foot problems in the past, and we wouldn't
be surprised to see his connections eventually concentrate strictly on turf
events. This might be the time to beat Lava Man on the main track, but we can't
take anything away from the classy gelding.
ARSON SQUAD (Brahms) has earned century-topping Late Pace figures in his last
five outings and could make his presence felt in the stretch on Saturday. The
multiple Grade 2 victor has never been 1 1/4 miles before, but he did capture
the nine-furlong Strub S. (G2) in good fashion last time. The four-year-old
gelding may continue to offer much more for trainer Bruce Headley, and Garrett
Gomez sticks with Arson Squad over Molengao.
AWESOME GEM (Awesome Again) recorded a minor upset in the San Fernando
Breeders' Cup S. (G2) two starts back and turned in a solid third in the Strub
last time. His Speed ratings will need to continue to improve, but the
four-year-old gelding appears to be heading in the right direction for Craig
Dollase. Consider for part.
SPRING AT LAST (Silver Deputy) is making good strides for O'Neill, finishing
second in both the Strub and Malibu S. (G1), and we could see using him on the
bottom of the exotics. However, we have our doubts about his chances at 1 1/4
miles at this stage in his career. MCCANN'S MOJAVE (Memo [Chi]) sprang an upset
at 33-1 in the Sunshine Millions Classic last out, but he'll step up to face
much tougher company here while stretching out in distance. The seven-year-old
will likely be forwardly placed under Frank Alvarado, and we can't completely
dismiss him for a minor award given his current form.
BOBOMAN (Kingmambo) will be making his main track debut for Richard Mandella.
The Grade 1 winner has trained forwardly for this appearance, but we'll just
watch to see how he fares on dirt. Ball Four relishes the Polytrack at Turfway
Park, winning the Kentucky Cup Classic (G2) last September, and didn't run
poorly in the San Antonio last time, but we're concerned about the added
distance with the front runner. EL ROBLAR (War Chant) might find this company
too difficult to make any kind of an impact.
| TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: | 1st-MOLENGAO (Brz) | |
| 2nd-LAVA MAN | ||
| 3rd-ARSON SQUAD |
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